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Should I ship an Idler Space Sim?
Space Sim + Idler
Of 39 developers who shipped an Idler Space Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×200 the market median. Revenue is up 800% on the market; 55 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $238 (exactly $238) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $1.6k (exactly $1,617) |
| Top 5% | $125k (exactly $125,431) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 39 |
| Released games | 82 |
| Announced | 55 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 800% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Space Sim, Idler; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Incremental, Strategy, Simulation
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,587 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Space Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + DestructionFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + WarFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SportsFair
- + DiplomacyLong shot
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Strategy RPGPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Galactic Mining Corp | older | $12.99 | 868 84% | 26k | $338k (exactly $338,260) | Windybeard |
| | Space industrial empire | older | $5.99 | 1,022 85% | 31k | $184k (exactly $183,653) | 游戏养家工作室 |
| | Vanguard Galaxy | · EA | $8.99 | 565 90% | 17k | $152k (exactly $152,380) | Bat Roost Games |
| | Void Miner – Incremental Asteroids Roguelite | $5.99 | 698 83% | 21k | $125k (exactly $125,431) | RyanJakob | |
| | Riftborne | · EA | $7.99 | 108 91% | 3.2k | $26k (exactly $25,888) | Pitio Productions |
| | Mars Rover Simulator | older | $19.99 | 24 25% | 720 | $14k (exactly $14,393) | DexterCoding |
| | CosmoOdyssey:Trip to Mars | older | $1.99 | 150 92% | 4.5k | $9.0k (exactly $8,955) | Brenntkopf Development |
| | Stellar outpost commander | $8.99 | 30 83% | 900 | $8.1k (exactly $8,091) | Kinderril | |
| | Galactic Simulator | $4.99 | 46 76% | 1.4k | $6.9k (exactly $6,886) | PcZ Games | |
| | Idle Fleet | $3.99 | 41 82% | 1.2k | $4.9k (exactly $4,908) | Idleforge Games | |
| | Holding Pattern | $4.99 | 31 96% | 930 | $4.6k (exactly $4,641) | Orange Acorn Games | |
| | Galactic Simulator 3 | $6.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $4.4k (exactly $4,404) | PcZ Games | |
| | Desktop Colony | $5.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) | Mechabit | |
| | My Idle Space Cruiser | $2.99 | 24 83% | 720 | $2.2k (exactly $2,153) | Minicactus Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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