Games › Shooter › Shooter + Horses
Should I ship a Horse Shooter?
Shooter + Horses
Only 6 developers shipped a Horse Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Red Dead Redemption, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.9k against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.9k (exactly $1,915) |
| Top 25% | $117k (exactly $116,941) |
| Top 5% | $30M (exactly $30,434,912) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Shooter
- Price point
- $12.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 1,009,169 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 11 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Match 3Fair
- + SnowFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Score AttackLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
Comparable games
Red Dead Redemption 2 2019 · $1.5B 
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN 2015 · $44M 
Red Dead Online 2020 · $36M 
Red Dead Redemption 2024 · $30M 
HROT 2023 · $3.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Red Dead Redemption 2 | older | $59.99 | 846,270 92% | 25M | $1.5B (exactly $1,523,032,119) | Rockstar Games |
| | METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN | older | $19.99 | 73,137 91% | 2.2M | $44M (exactly $43,860,259) | KONAMI |
| | Red Dead Online | older | $19.99 | 59,572 82% | 1.8M | $36M (exactly $35,725,328) | Rockstar Games |
| | Red Dead Redemption | $49.99 | 20,294 92% | 609k | $30M (exactly $30,434,912) | Rockstar Games, Double Eleven | |
| | HROT | older | $19.99 | 5,299 96% | 159k | $3.2M (exactly $3,177,810) | Spytihněv |
 | GUN™ | older | $19.99 | 2,102 91% | 63k | $1.3M (exactly $1,260,569) | Neversoft |
 | Rustler (Grand Theft Horse) | older | $24.99 | 1,227 78% | 37k | $920k (exactly $919,882) | Jutsu Games |
 | Badiya: Desert Survival | · EA older | $19.99 | 284 50% | 8.5k | $170k (exactly $170,315) | Semaphore |
 | Golden Chambers | · EA | $19.99 | 195 80% | 5.9k | $117k (exactly $116,941) | Mr. Pink |
 | The Pony Factory | older | $3.99 | 789 90% | 24k | $94k (exactly $94,443) | David Szymanski, John Szymanski |
 | Deer Hero | $3.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $1.9k (exactly $1,915) | Nyoro | |
 | Story of the Olivia | $12.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) | Uğur ÇELİK | |
 | Blood and Dust | · EA | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | PiggyNose Games |
 | The Last Bet | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Bavita Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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