Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Parkour game?

Parkour + Horror

Of 39 developers who shipped a Horror Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $6.8M, ×10840 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 67 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 67 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $258k → $2.7k → $8.0k → $1.6k → $4.9k → $1.0k → $150 (still earning) → $2.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $358 (exactly $358)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $30k (exactly $29,777)
Top 5% $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 118
Announced 67
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, 3D Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 81,815 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $29k, 1 in 20 over $6.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition older $59.99 164,914 79% 4.9M $297M (exactly $296,795,726) Techland
Dying Light older $24.99 373,413 95% 11M $280M (exactly $279,947,726) Techland
Dying Light: The Beast $59.99 59,318 87% 1.8M $107M (exactly $106,754,605) Techland
Outlast older $14.99 104,353 96% 3.1M $47M (exactly $46,927,544) Red Barrels
Outlast 2 older $19.99 54,239 90% 1.6M $33M (exactly $32,527,128) Red Barrels
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
BONEWORKS older $29.99 34,141 92% 1.0M $31M (exactly $30,716,658) Stress Level Zero
Prototype 2 older $39.99 10,389 75% 312k $12M (exactly $12,463,683) Radical Entertainment
Thief older $19.99 17,389 75% 522k $10M (exactly $10,428,183) Eidos-Montréal, Feral Interactive (Mac)
Prototype™ older $19.99 12,518 80% 376k $7.5M (exactly $7,507,045) Radical Entertainment
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Lorn's Lure $14.99 2,654 86% 80k $1.2M (exactly $1,193,504) Rubeki Games
Finding Frankie $14.99 1,886 90% 57k $848k (exactly $848,134) SUPERLOU
Idols of Ash $2.99 3,352 97% 101k $301k (exactly $300,674) Leafy Games
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game $9.99 220 96% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,934) DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC
CashGrab: Refunded · EA $6.99 206 87% 6.2k $43k (exactly $43,198) Grabba Guild Games LLC
Dark Succubus $6.99 171 77% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,859) ZC Game
Blessed Burden $6.99 142 97% 4.3k $30k (exactly $29,777) Podoba Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.