Do I ship it?

GamesQuick-Time EventsQuick-Time Events + Historical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Historical Quick-Time Events game?

Quick-Time Events + Historical

Only 10 developers shipped a Historical Quick-Time Events game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 蜀汉再临:源起 Restart ShuHan Dynasty:Origin, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $42k, ×68 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Quick-Time Events + Historical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Quick-Time Events + Historical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $43k (exactly $42,733)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 32
Announced 21
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Historical
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Quick-Time Events
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 78% positive over 394 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $480, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $42k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Quick-Time Events with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $15k · 16 announced
  2. + Shoot 'Em UpFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  3. + Life SimFair28 devs · median $958 · 33 announced
  4. + SimulationFair116 devs · median $748 · 133 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair15 devs · median $720 · 18 announced
  6. + Resource ManagementFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  8. + AliensFair12 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  9. + SpaceFair16 devs · median $597 · 24 announced
  10. + Bullet TimeLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  11. + DemonsLong shot17 devs · median $300 · 22 announced
  12. + Bullet HellLong shot27 devs · median $239 · 25 announced

All 110 pairs on the Quick-Time Events page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assassin’s Creed® Rogue older $19.99 21,310 86% 639k $13M (exactly $12,779,607) Ubisoft Sofia, Ubisoft Kiev
Ryse: Son of Rome older $9.99 38,308 87% 1.1M $11M (exactly $11,480,908) Crytek
Card Shark older $19.99 2,965 90% 89k $1.8M (exactly $1,778,110) Nerial
Thriving City: Song older $18.99 3,054 81% 92k $1.7M (exactly $1,739,864) White Star Studio
蜀汉再临:源起 Restart ShuHan Dynasty:Origin $3.99 357 76% 11k $43k (exactly $42,733) 浙江海蕊盈信网络科技有限公司
SGS Halls of Montezuma older $24.99 35 74% 1.1k $26k (exactly $26,240) The Strategy Game Studio
Hydro $8.99 16 100% 480 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Harman Motor Works
The Violinist older $6.99 16 50% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) BigBentertainment
Samurai beat demons $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) sDev Games
The Battle of Visby older $2.99 13 46% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) ChalkstoneInteractive
Lotus: Lost Memories $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Fenyx Digital
Blade of Vengeance: Night Raid at Swift Peak Pass $7.99 2 0% 60 $479 (exactly $479) 几几不小心
HAJIKI: Samurai Reflex Action $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) 電脳鈴木組
Cool Cool Water $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Stone Coyote Games
Samurai Standoff · EA $8.31 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Bearstick
Orpheus: Echo of Hades $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LumiXL
Divine Descent: Chu-Han $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Qingdao Qilin Ark Network Technology Co… (Qingdao Qilin Ark Network Technology Co.,Ltd.)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.