Games › Survival › Survival + Heist
Should I ship a Heist Survival game?
Survival + Heist
Only 5 developers shipped a Heist Survival game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dark Hours, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $21k against a market of $630. 26 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) |
|---|---|
| Median | $21k (exactly $20,979) |
| Top 25% | $30k (exactly $30,270) |
| Top 5% | $1.0M (exactly $1,043,256) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Survival
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 90,474 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $3.8k. 26 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Survival with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Social DeductionFair
- + Word GameFair
- + CatsFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + DogsFair
- + Martial ArtsLong shot
- + Boomer ShooterLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition 2018 · $86M 
Hobo: Tough Life 2021 · $7.8M 
Dead Rising 4 2017 · $4.3M 
Dark Hours 2025 · $1.0M 
Last Holiday 2023 · EA · $348k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition | older | $39.99 | 71,706 84% | 2.2M | $86M (exactly $86,025,688) | Eidos-Montréal, Crystal Dynamics, Nixxe… (Eidos-Montréal, Crystal Dynamics, Nixxes, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral interactive (Linux)) |
| | Hobo: Tough Life | older | $29.99 | 8,679 84% | 260k | $7.8M (exactly $7,808,496) | Perun Creative |
| | Dead Rising 4 | older | $29.99 | 4,773 59% | 143k | $4.3M (exactly $4,294,268) | Capcom Game Studio Vancouver, Inc. |
| | Dark Hours | $9.99 | 3,481 81% | 104k | $1.0M (exactly $1,043,256) | Piece of Cake studios | |
| | Last Holiday | · EA older | $29.99 | 387 40% | 12k | $348k (exactly $348,184) | Boomer Games s.r.o. |
 | Anarchy: Wolf's law | older | $9.99 | 768 76% | 23k | $230k (exactly $230,170) | Anarchy Games |
 | The Game of Annie 安妮的游戏 | older | $7.99 | 466 62% | 14k | $112k (exactly $111,700) | potentknight |
 | OPG: Clan Wars | $9.99 | 101 74% | 3.0k | $30k (exactly $30,270) | Anarchy Games, Street's Game | |
 | Hazard Levels | · EA | $9.99 | 70 71% | 2.1k | $21k (exactly $20,979) | Wales Interactive |
 | The Story of The Flood | older | $4.99 | 43 67% | 1.3k | $6.4k (exactly $6,437) | ZHANG FAN |
 | Roulette Heist | $6.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) | DreamArk Lab | |
 | Fathoms | · EA | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Bloop |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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