Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Combat › Turn-Based Combat + Gambling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gambling Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Gambling

Of 29 developers who shipped a Gambling Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×289 the market median. Revenue is up 650% on the market; 47 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 650% on the market, 47 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Gambling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $2.5k → $2.2k (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Gambling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,317)
Top 25% $7.0k (exactly $7,012)
Top 5% $137k (exactly $137,348)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 43
Announced 47
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 650% on the market, supply 285% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Gambling
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat, Gambling; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelike, Roguelike Deckbuilder
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,870 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $7.0k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dungeon Clawler 2026 · $1.7M Spin Hero 2024 · $137k RogueJack21 2026 · $71k Lucky Hero 2023 · $29k Slot or Not 2026 · $27k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dungeon Clawler $14.99 3,716 88% 111k $1.7M (exactly $1,671,085) Stray Fawn Studio
Spin Hero $7.99 573 73% 17k $137k (exactly $137,348) Sphere Studios
RogueJack21 $11.99 196 67% 5.9k $71k (exactly $70,501) Zandbox Studio
Lucky Hero older $10.99 88 80% 2.6k $29k (exactly $29,014) mora churrasco studio
Slot or Not $6.99 131 89% 3.9k $27k (exactly $27,471) MakoTeam
One Last Hand $6.99 86 70% 2.6k $18k (exactly $18,034) Fire Brick Games
CUBE ROYALE · EA older $9.99 47 93% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Creature Factory
Who Trained the Hero? -Spin of Fate- $8.99 51 60% 1.5k $14k (exactly $13,755) Game Studio Inc., KADOKAWA
Gamble Tower older $14.99 26 96% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Indiebuild
Ribbit Rogue $9.99 35 91% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) King Krab Games
Roulette Dungeon $8.99 26 84% 780 $7.0k (exactly $7,012) Hooded Traveler Games
Coinsweeper $4.99 43 86% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Duo Forge Games
Bingo Betty $14.99 13 100% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Elias Austin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.