Games › Trading › Trading + Gambling
Should I ship a Trading Gambling game?
Trading + Gambling
Only 12 developers shipped a Trading Gambling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, NBA 2K26, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×7.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $53M, ×113388 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 33 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,597) |
| Top 25% | $46k (exactly $45,909) |
| Top 5% | $54M (exactly $53,859,405) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Trading, Gambling
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 67% positive over 27,234 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 33 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + MiningFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + FlightPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + LootPoor odds
Comparable games
NBA 2K25 2024 · $65M 
NBA 2K26 2025 · $54M 
Caribbean Legend: Age of Pirates 2026 · $383k 
Dog Brew 2024 · $160k 
Particul 2026 · $46k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | NBA 2K25 | older | $69.99 | 30,969 60% | 929k | $65M (exactly $65,025,609) | Visual Concepts |
| | NBA 2K26 | $69.99 | 25,651 66% | 770k | $54M (exactly $53,859,405) | Visual Concepts | |
| | Caribbean Legend: Age of Pirates | $19.99 | 638 70% | 19k | $383k (exactly $382,609) | ReCon Team | |
| | Dog Brew | older | $3.50 | 1,522 97% | 46k | $160k (exactly $159,810) | Yuliy Oneshko, S-Grade |
| | Particul | $1.99 | 769 80% | 23k | $46k (exactly $45,909) | MILLION PIXELS | |
 | Rich List: The Order | · EA | $14.99 | 70 90% | 2.1k | $31k (exactly $31,479) | YUANYE TECH |
 | DAGURI: Gambling Apocalypse | older | $2.99 | 207 93% | 6.2k | $19k (exactly $18,568) | DakeCraft |
 | Smoke & Lottery Simulator | $9.99 | 57 85% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,083) | EdenStudio | |
 | Sex Poker | older | $19.99 | 22 27% | 660 | $13k (exactly $13,193) | Somavision Games |
 | Callparin 2 | older | $19.99 | 10 20% | 300 | $6.0k (exactly $5,997) | Marco Games |
 | TradingLife | · EA | $11.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.6k (exactly $3,597) | Fun(ctor) Studio |
 | Casino Simulator | · EA | $5.99 | 14 21% | 420 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Game Studios |
 | Egglings | $2.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) | Maurice Huchler | |
 | Gray Trading | $3.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) | Nedeey | |
 | Convenience Store Simulator | $14.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Cavumono |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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