Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog FPS?

FPS + Dogs

Only 6 developers shipped a Dog FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Way of the Hunter 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $590, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×1075 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 7 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 7 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for FPS + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $594 (exactly $594)
Top 25% $670k (exactly $670,441)
Top 5% $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 26
Announced 7
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 54,171 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $590, 1 in 4 over $670k, 1 in 20 over $1.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $219k · 57 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 3 (2011) 2011 · $19M Call of Duty®: Ghosts 2014 · $16M Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition 2014 · $13M Necromunda: Hired Gun 2021 · $7.1M Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 2023 · $2.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 3 (2011) older $39.99 15,588 90% 468k $19M (exactly $18,700,924) Infinity Ward, Sledgehammer Games
Call of Duty®: Ghosts older $39.99 12,976 66% 389k $16M (exactly $15,567,307) Infinity Ward
Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition older $39.99 11,103 64% 333k $13M (exactly $13,320,269) Sledgehammer Games, Raven Software
Necromunda: Hired Gun older $39.99 5,892 68% 177k $7.1M (exactly $7,068,632) Streum On Studio
Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 older $29.99 2,258 84% 68k $2.0M (exactly $2,031,523) Vertigo Games
Way of the Hunter 2 · EA $34.99 1,534 73% 46k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240) Nine Rocks Games
Hunting Simulator 2 older $39.99 904 70% 27k $1.1M (exactly $1,084,529) Nacon Studio Ghent
Pratfall $7.99 2,797 90% 84k $670k (exactly $670,441) Quad Head
Duck Season PC older $9.99 1,029 93% 31k $308k (exactly $308,391) Stress Level Zero
Rotten Flesh - Cosmic Horror Survival Game older $11.99 90 68% 2.7k $32k (exactly $32,373) Steelkrill Studio
Chasing Her Light $0.99 20 80% 600 $594 (exactly $594) DodoModo, BoppoLoppo
The Cute the Baldy and the Fluffy $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) lightUP
Maya Steps Out $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) TwoDogs
Hunting Pro Simulator · EA $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hard Shark Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.