Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Walking Simulator FPS?

FPS + Walking Simulator

Of 172 developers who shipped a Walking Simulator FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 190 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 100% on the market; 190 games are announced against 100 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 100% on the market, 190 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 172
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $748 → $1.9k → $2.9k → $898 → $1.3k → $1.1k (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 172
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,549)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $30,767)
Developers, 2 yr 172
Released games 492
Announced 190
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Walking Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 6,992 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $4.5k, 1 in 20 over $30k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 98 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 190 games are announced against 100 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  9. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  10. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  11. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced
  12. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $219k · 57 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

theHunter: Call of the Wild™ 2017 · $102M Scorn 2022 · $22M Miscreated 2018 · $21M 港詭實錄ParanormalHK 2020 · $7.4M Call of Cthulhu® 2018 · $6.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ older $19.99 170,472 89% 5.1M $102M (exactly $102,232,058) Expansive Worlds
Scorn older $49.99 14,546 77% 436k $22M (exactly $21,814,636) Ebb Software
Miscreated older $29.99 23,050 66% 692k $21M (exactly $20,738,085) Entrada Interactive LLC
港詭實錄ParanormalHK older $12.99 18,874 89% 566k $7.4M (exactly $7,355,198) Ghostpie Studio
Call of Cthulhu® older $19.99 10,962 79% 329k $6.6M (exactly $6,573,911) Cyanide Studio
TOGETHER BnB · EA older $17.99 9,025 59% 271k $4.9M (exactly $4,870,792) AURORA Games
Lunch Lady older $4.99 9,722 86% 292k $1.5M (exactly $1,455,383) Manic Mice
CastleMiner Z older $5.99 7,939 83% 238k $1.4M (exactly $1,426,638) DigitalDNA Games
Hail to the Rainbow $14.99 2,533 90% 76k $1.1M (exactly $1,139,090) Носков Сергей
Hunt Down The Freeman older $9.99 3,785 54% 114k $1.1M (exactly $1,134,364) Royal Rudius Entertainment
No Players Online $14.99 624 83% 19k $281k (exactly $280,613) Beeswax Games
The Skin Stapler $14.99 457 90% 14k $206k (exactly $205,513) Tainted Pact
The Backrooms 1998 - Found Footage Survival Horror Game $9.99 589 80% 18k $177k (exactly $176,523) Steelkrill Studio
It Takes a War $5.99 885 91% 27k $159k (exactly $159,034) Thomas Mackinnon
Pyromaniac $4.99 994 86% 30k $149k (exactly $148,802) Dominik Braun
Project Songbird $14.99 195 85% 5.9k $88k (exactly $87,692) FYRE Games, Conner Rush
MustScream $6.99 304 49% 9.1k $64k (exactly $63,749) YonGame
Jaden Williams' The Stalking Stairs $2.99 343 88% 10k $31k (exactly $30,767) Jaden Williams
CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights · EA $13.99 68 55% 2.0k $29k (exactly $28,540) Hed Media Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.