Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith FPS?

FPS + Faith

Only 14 developers shipped a Faith FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Forgive Me Father 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×1.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $630. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 12 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 120% on the market, 12 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $4.8k → $179 → $630 → $807 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $630 (exactly $630)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,915)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,124,550)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 34
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Adventure
Price point
$3.50 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Violent
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $3.50.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,654 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  6. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  8. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  9. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  10. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  11. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced
  12. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $219k · 57 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Forgive Me Father 2 2024 · $1.1M I Am Sakuya: Touhou FPS Game 2022 · $162k Super 3-D Noah's Ark 2015 · $155k E.E.R.I.E2 2024 · $150k REVEREND 2024 · $17k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Forgive Me Father 2 $24.99 1,500 81% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,124,550) Byte Barrel
I Am Sakuya: Touhou FPS Game older $7.99 676 91% 20k $162k (exactly $162,037) Sigyaad Team
Super 3-D Noah's Ark older $9.99 518 92% 16k $155k (exactly $155,245) Wisdom Tree, Inc.
E.E.R.I.E2 older $7.99 624 75% 19k $150k (exactly $149,573) Ureasoft
REVEREND older $2.99 193 88% 5.8k $17k (exactly $17,312) Twisted Sickle
Vampire Hunter: Nightrise $14.99 31 93% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Over The Moon
MALEDICTOR · EA $17.99 13 100% 390 $7.0k (exactly $7,016) Armadillo Entertainment LLC
Catechumen $9.99 16 87% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) N'Lightning Software Development, Jorda… (N'Lightning Software Development, Jordan Freeman Group)
GunFu Fighter older $4.99 29 68% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) ZHANG FAN
Somewhere: Sect of Relic older $4.99 23 60% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) Dude Bro's
Ominous Horizons: A Paladin's Calling $9.99 10 80% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) N'Lightning Software Development, Jorda… (N'Lightning Software Development, Jordan Freeman Group)
Silent $2.99 27 44% 810 $2.4k (exactly $2,422) GenemesicX
Conviction $3.99 17 100% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) J-Bradford
SCULPTURE $3.99 16 50% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) sasanuki
V.R.G. $3.50 15 93% 450 $1.6k (exactly $1,575) latel88
The Forest Watches $2.99 9 88% 270 $807 (exactly $807) RanSio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.