Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Football (Soccer)

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Football (Soccer) game?

Online Co-Op + Football (Soccer)

Only 15 developers shipped an Online Co-Op Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, EA SPORTS FC™ 26, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 35 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while revenue is down 75% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 35 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Football (Soccer)
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $3.3k → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Football (Soccer): Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,587)
Top 5% $209M (exactly $209,493,368)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 50
Announced 35
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 38%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Football (Soccer)
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 56% positive over 140,124 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $840, 1 in 4 over $6.5k, 1 in 20 over $200M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EA SPORTS FC™ 26 $69.99 99,773 50% 3.0M $209M (exactly $209,493,368) EA Canada, EA Romania
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions older $59.99 5,072 73% 152k $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Bang-On Balls: Chronicles older $24.99 4,334 96% 130k $3.2M (exactly $3,249,200) Exit Plan Games
CAPTAIN TSUBASA 2: WORLD FIGHTERS $59.99 330 50% 9.9k $594k (exactly $593,901) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
FootLOL: Epic Soccer League older $9.99 680 82% 20k $204k (exactly $203,796) HeroCraft
No Fair Play older $2.99 452 90% 14k $41k (exactly $40,544) Self MADev
Save Your Nuts older $9.99 28 75% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) Triple Scale Games
GOKA Street · EA $4.99 44 86% 1.3k $6.6k (exactly $6,587) Blay Games
Crazy Soccer: Football Stars older $9.99 18 88% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) HeroLabs
Lucky Goal $4.99 29 96% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Woondas
You Suck At Football $4.99 22 59% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Gorka Games
Soccer in a Box $2.99 10 100% 300 $897 (exactly $897) WaveBox Labs
Soccer Pro Simulator · EA $6.99 4 50% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Hard Shark Games
THE REF - Football Referee Simulator · EA $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) HustleGrow AB
Handgun Football $3.99 4 50% 120 $479 (exactly $479) )erek(

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.