Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Fishing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing Shooter?

Shooter + Fishing

Only 16 developers shipped a Fishing Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, How to Fish, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.5k, ×8.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×22009 the market median. Revenue is up 275% on the market; 26 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 275% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Fishing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $168k (still earning) → $12k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Fishing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $959 (exactly $959)
Median $5.5k (exactly $5,513)
Top 25% $133k (exactly $132,644)
Top 5% $14M (exactly $13,821,342)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 35
Announced 26
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 275% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Fishing
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 59,924 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $960, median $5.5k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $13M.

3 in 10 developers made under $960. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
How to Fish $7.99 57,661 95% 1.7M $14M (exactly $13,821,342) Dazed Games
UMIGARI | ウミガリ $12.99 1,029 82% 31k $401k (exactly $401,001) Chilla's Art
Ace of Seafood older $11.99 526 91% 16k $189k (exactly $189,202) Calappa Games
Fish Hunters: Most Lethal Fishing Simulator 🐟 $9.99 562 58% 17k $168k (exactly $168,431) Pmdk23
Lake of Creatures $12.49 354 92% 11k $133k (exactly $132,644) ANTENNA GAMES
Project Hunt older $24.99 155 88% 4.7k $116k (exactly $116,204) Mind Mythic
DREAMWILD older $7.99 351 88% 11k $84k (exactly $84,135) Fading Club
AIRHEART - Tales of broken Wings older $14.99 128 81% 3.8k $58k (exactly $57,562) Blindflug Studios AG
Fish Person Shooter · EA older $12.99 45 91% 1.4k $18k (exactly $17,536) 8AH
Fish to Cats: Catch & Feed $2.99 193 83% 5.8k $17k (exactly $17,312) Kygua Tech
CHEMISTS: Dead Zone · EA $15.99 24 62% 720 $12k (exactly $11,513) RPAX GAMING
Zombie Liminal Fishing $13.99 21 85% 630 $8.8k (exactly $8,814) Chris Danelon
Hook Line and Sniper $7.99 23 100% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) ItellaItella, Justin1L8
Critical Fishing $2.99 50 96% 1.5k $4.5k (exactly $4,485) lazygun
Snapshot Aquarium · EA $5.99 7 100% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Octoponx

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.