Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim Shooter?

Shooter + Farming Sim

Only 12 developers shipped a Farming Sim Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Zombie Graveyard Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $660, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×576 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 28 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $2.3k → $7.2k → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $659 (exactly $659)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $29,471)
Top 5% $362k (exactly $362,008)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 25
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Farming Sim
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,418 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $660, 1 in 4 over $29k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zombie Graveyard Simulator $14.99 805 89% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) threeW
Fox Sex Farm $17.99 413 82% 12k $223k (exactly $222,896) R's
Dong-Jin Rice-hime(東津萌米) older $19.99 352 90% 11k $211k (exactly $211,094) STORIA, Narrator, SimonCreative
极乐不羡仙 $5.99 164 65% 4.9k $29k (exactly $29,471) 仙常居ソフト
Tutien Path $14.99 16 81% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Truong Thanh Triet
Shadow of the Night $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Uğur ÇELİK
WFD older $7.99 8 75% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) HelloVR
Alice in Dinerland older $9.99 4 25% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Marginal_act
Freedom Farming - The American Way older $6.99 5 80% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) The Zoo
最后一搏 The last fight older $3.99 8 12% 240 $958 (exactly $958) 香蜂草
Mary Jane · EA $10.99 2 0% 60 $659 (exactly $659) EBOES
Dreamrealms Resurgence $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Kang Jie
Farm Chicken $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) ChickenMan
Alfons World $1.99 3 66% 90 $179 (exactly $179) Dog On God
Holomancer · EA $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) Darkware

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.