Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Farming Sim?

Online Co-Op + Farming Sim

Of 36 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 85 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $18k, ×12 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $14M, ×9865 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 85 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 85 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $125k → $254k → $28k → $13k → $16k (still earning) → $2.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Median $18k (exactly $18,473)
Top 25% $123k (exactly $122,938)
Top 5% $15M (exactly $14,777,208)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 71
Announced 85
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Farming Sim; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Simulation, Building
Price point
$12.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, Cozy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $22.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 83,730 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $18k, 1 in 4 over $120k, 1 in 20 over $14M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 5 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 85 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farming Simulator 22 older $19.99 69,477 93% 2.1M $42M (exactly $41,665,357) GIANTS Software
Farming Simulator 25 $29.99 39,681 87% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,700,996) GIANTS Software
Farming Simulator 19 older $17.99 64,621 94% 1.9M $35M (exactly $34,875,954) GIANTS Software
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
Dinkum $19.99 24,641 92% 739k $15M (exactly $14,777,208) James Bendon
Farm Together older $19.99 17,647 93% 529k $11M (exactly $10,582,906) Milkstone Studios
Farming Simulator 17 older $14.99 23,063 93% 692k $10M (exactly $10,371,431) GIANTS Software
Luma Island $19.99 11,204 84% 336k $6.7M (exactly $6,719,039) Feel Free Games
Call of the Wild: The Angler™ older $29.99 6,122 63% 184k $5.5M (exactly $5,507,963) Expansive Worlds
Farming Simulator 15 older $12.99 13,306 92% 399k $5.2M (exactly $5,185,348) GIANTS Software
Solarpunk™ $22.99 3,492 81% 105k $2.4M (exactly $2,408,432) Cyberwave
Cozy Island $8.99 2,454 92% 74k $662k (exactly $661,844) LazyFish Studio
Boba Cafe Simulator $15.99 1,192 92% 36k $572k (exactly $571,802) Caikemi
Wild Indigo Ranch $19.99 424 68% 13k $254k (exactly $254,273) Funday Games
Oppidum $29.99 161 67% 4.8k $145k (exactly $144,852) EP Games®
Weed Shop 4: Highland · EA $19.99 205 52% 6.2k $123k (exactly $122,938) Weed Games
Wonderia · EA $13.99 276 80% 8.3k $116k (exactly $115,837) Rock&Dash

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.