Do I ship it?

GamesQuick-Time EventsQuick-Time Events + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Quick-Time Events game?

Quick-Time Events + Fantasy

Of 61 developers who shipped a Fantasy Quick-Time Events game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 94 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 34 developers shipped in the last year and 94 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 100% on the market, 94 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Quick-Time Events + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 61
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $60 → $148 → $239 → $597 → $120 → $449 → $959 (still earning) → $105 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Quick-Time Events + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 61
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,556)
Top 5% $47k (exactly $46,981)
Developers, 2 yr 61
Released games 147
Announced 94
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Quick-Time Events; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,279 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $270, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $46k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 94 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Quick-Time Events with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $15k · 16 announced
  2. + Shoot 'Em UpFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  3. + Life SimFair28 devs · median $958 · 33 announced
  4. + SimulationFair116 devs · median $748 · 133 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair15 devs · median $720 · 18 announced
  6. + Resource ManagementFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  8. + AliensFair12 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  9. + SpaceFair16 devs · median $597 · 24 announced
  10. + Bullet TimeLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  11. + DemonsLong shot17 devs · median $300 · 22 announced
  12. + Bullet HellLong shot27 devs · median $239 · 25 announced

All 110 pairs on the Quick-Time Events page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Wolf Among Us older $14.99 32,494 97% 975k $15M (exactly $14,612,552) Telltale
Ryse: Son of Rome older $9.99 38,308 87% 1.1M $11M (exactly $11,480,908) Crytek
Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Ultimate Edition older $29.99 7,998 80% 240k $7.2M (exactly $7,195,801) MercurySteam, Climax Studios
Costume Quest older $9.99 2,606 95% 78k $781k (exactly $781,018) Double Fine Productions
PAC-MAN WORLD 2 Re-PAC $29.99 694 90% 21k $624k (exactly $624,392) NOW PRODUCTION Co., Ltd.
The Use of Life $19.99 764 90% 23k $458k (exactly $458,171) だらねこげーむず/Daraneko Games
Superscout older $17.99 652 75% 20k $352k (exactly $351,884) Mountain and Sea Studio
Joe Dever's Lone Wolf HD Remastered older $14.99 596 75% 18k $268k (exactly $268,021) Reply Game Studios
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- Sweep the Board! older $59.99 113 85% 3.4k $203k (exactly $203,366) CyberConnect2
Dragon's Lair older $9.99 673 77% 20k $202k (exactly $201,698) Digital Leisure Inc.
Nocan's Quest: Sex Gold Glory $9.99 167 69% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,050) Kinky Business Group
Couple-Cultivation Saves the World $7.99 196 59% 5.9k $47k (exactly $46,981) Guns&Roses Studio
Ragnar $14.99 61 83% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Fimbulwinter Games
Sex Knight~Prey of the Lustful Nobles~ $10.99 82 82% 2.5k $27k (exactly $27,035) アイオライト
Legends of Savvarah: Children of the Sun $7.99 75 92% 2.3k $18k (exactly $17,978) ST Sinovar
Legends of Savvarah: Flowers and Scorpions $5.99 94 95% 2.8k $17k (exactly $16,892) ST Sinovar
Sex Shop Simulator: Sinful Girls $7.99 57 43% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Bits, Bytes & Sins
Cozy Twinkie $2.99 89 82% 2.7k $8.0k (exactly $7,983) Noodle A.M

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.