Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Strategy › Turn-Based Strategy + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Faith

Only 9 developers shipped a Faith Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER -, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.3k against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 5.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 1810% on the market, 17 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,985)
Top 5% $611k (exactly $610,925)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 28
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1810% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 3,924 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend 2022 · EA · $1.8M Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER - 2025 · $611k Black & White 2023 · $275k AutoChess of Gensokyo 2021 · EA · $170k Touhou Rinrinki ~ Crafts of the Lucky Beast 2026 · EA · $35k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend · EA older $29.99 2,036 92% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,831,789) Alioth Studio
Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER - $34.99 582 98% 17k $611k (exactly $610,925) さんぼん堂
Black & White older $14.99 612 71% 18k $275k (exactly $275,216) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
AutoChess of Gensokyo · EA older $15.99 355 67% 11k $170k (exactly $170,294) MyACG Studio
Touhou Rinrinki ~ Crafts of the Lucky Beast · EA $9.99 117 92% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Starcrow Dev
Sainthood $9.99 50 94% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Sainthood Project
[東方二次] Senran Meisuishu Tactics / 戦乱命萃酒タクティクス older $19.99 23 82% 690 $14k (exactly $13,793) disfactNoir
Clash II older $4.99 88 69% 2.6k $13k (exactly $13,174) Prime Bit Games SA
Herogue $14.99 22 95% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) 巴豆肥工作室
Mandinga - A Tale of Banzo older $7.99 39 84% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) Uruca Game Studio
不思議の大冒険 チルノ見参！２ $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) CrossLodge
Silent $2.99 27 44% 810 $2.4k (exactly $2,422) GenemesicX
Espirito Delusion $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Aura, Flafo
Soul Redemption $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Happy Sufferer
Dirt $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) 海边的taku

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.