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Should I ship a Dystopian Parkour game?
Parkour + Dystopian
Of 21 developers who shipped a Dystopian Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×6.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×677 the market median. Revenue is up 4300% on the market; 51 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,166) |
| Top 25% | $9.3k (exactly $9,337) |
| Top 5% | $425k (exactly $425,274) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 60 |
| Announced | 51 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4300% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 3D Platformer, Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 5,144 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dishonored 2 | older | $29.99 | 42,988 90% | 1.3M | $39M (exactly $38,676,304) | Arkane Studios |
| | Mirror's Edge™ | older | $19.99 | 31,195 87% | 936k | $19M (exactly $18,707,642) | DICE |
| | Remember Me | older | $29.99 | 11,128 83% | 334k | $10M (exactly $10,011,862) | DONTNOD Entertainment |
| | Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst | older | $19.99 | 14,078 79% | 422k | $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) | DICE |
| | STRIDE | older | $19.99 | 1,975 79% | 59k | $1.2M (exactly $1,184,408) | Joy Way |
| | VHOLUME | $8.00 | 2,992 97% | 90k | $718k (exactly $718,080) | Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels… (Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels Tiercelin) | |
| | CICADAMATA" | $9.99 | 1,419 96% | 43k | $425k (exactly $425,274) | ✿ flowergarden | |
| | Double Dragon Revive | $34.99 | 157 63% | 4.7k | $165k (exactly $164,803) | YUKE’S | |
| | RKGK / Rakugaki | older | $11.99 | 212 76% | 6.4k | $76k (exactly $76,256) | Wabisabi Games |
| | Ikarus Parkour | $12.99 | 195 81% | 5.9k | $76k (exactly $75,992) | Vanja Aleksić | |
| | CashGrab: Refunded | · EA | $6.99 | 206 87% | 6.2k | $43k (exactly $43,198) | Grabba Guild Games LLC |
| | WHITE CHOCOLATE | $3.99 | 78 94% | 2.3k | $9.3k (exactly $9,337) | Bakery of Games | |
| | Dystopian Pet Simulator | · EA | $5.99 | 49 93% | 1.5k | $8.8k (exactly $8,805) | dinca.team |
| | Soul Drifter | $14.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) | VISIONKEEPER Studio | |
| | Under The Red Sky | · EA | $7.99 | 26 96% | 780 | $6.2k (exactly $6,232) | Dedra Games, Federico Calchera |
| | Spymaster | · EA | $11.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) | InnerspaceVR |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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