Do I ship it?

GamesStrategy RPGStrategy RPG + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Demons

Of 27 developers who shipped a Demon Strategy RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 47 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 47 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $168 → $1.3k → $713 → $599 → $0 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,157)
Top 5% $13k (exactly $13,406)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 84
Announced 47
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy RPG; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Dungeon Crawler, Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 510 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $13k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total War: WARHAMMER older $59.99 32,105 79% 963k $58M (exactly $57,779,368) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (L… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Linux), Feral Interactive (Mac))
Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters older $44.99 11,426 76% 343k $15M (exactly $15,421,672) Complex Games
Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster older $49.99 3,989 87% 120k $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) ATLUS
Dungeons 4 older $49.99 2,392 86% 72k $3.6M (exactly $3,587,282) Realmforge Studios
Disgaea PC older $19.99 4,296 87% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,576,311) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
VenusBlood HOLLOW International older $44.99 287 96% 8.6k $387k (exactly $387,364) Ninetail, Dualtail
Age of Fear 2: The Chaos Lord GOLD older $24.99 273 80% 8.2k $205k (exactly $204,668) Leslaw Sliwko
Suzukuri Dungeon: Karin in the Mountain older $24.99 138 73% 4.1k $103k (exactly $103,459) Karin Project
Jupiter Hell Classic · EA $14.99 230 95% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) ChaosForge
Blade Prince Academy older $19.99 58 65% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) Angel Corp
Yollen $3.99 112 66% 3.4k $13k (exactly $13,406) axilirate
Deadzoned · EA $4.99 66 98% 2.0k $9.9k (exactly $9,880) caiys
Soul Scar $9.99 21 100% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Wolfs Moon Studios
NO STRANGERS $4.99 29 58% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Xeirel Software
Drowning Ashes · EA $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Elston Studios
Dreadstone Keep $7.99 9 100% 270 $2.2k (exactly $2,157) Crit42 Studio
Mind Keeper · EA $10.99 6 100% 180 $2.0k (exactly $1,978) Blackwing Games
Heavy Wake $1.99 20 95% 600 $1.2k (exactly $1,194) Cold and Wet Studios
Chicken Defense War - Tower Defense · EA $5.99 6 33% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Peak Game

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.