Do I ship it?

GamesMetroidvaniaMetroidvania + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Metroidvania?

Metroidvania + Demons

Of 32 developers who shipped a Demon Metroidvania in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.4k, ×13 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×1286 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 55 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 55 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Metroidvania + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.6k → $360 → $44k → $46k → $6.7k → $4.3k → $8.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Metroidvania + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Median $6.4k (exactly $6,369)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $32,667)
Top 5% $611k (exactly $610,693)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 83
Announced 55
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Metroidvania
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Metroidvania; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 2D Platformer, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,694 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.2k, median $6.4k, 1 in 4 over $32k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.2k. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Metroidvania with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ParkourPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  2. + Online Co-OpPoor odds12 devs · median $74k · 15 announced
  3. + CraftingPoor odds10 devs · median $34k · 61 announced
  4. + SimulationPoor odds16 devs · median $32k · 35 announced
  5. + LovecraftianPoor odds8 devs · median $28k · 29 announced
  6. + CollectathonPoor odds30 devs · median $16k · 78 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 33 announced
  8. + Survival HorrorPoor odds14 devs · median $14k · 46 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds102 devs · median $14k · 335 announced
  10. + VampiresPoor odds16 devs · median $14k · 29 announced
  11. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds12 devs · median $14k · 42 announced
  12. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 37 announced

All 90 pairs on the Metroidvania page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ASTLIBRA Revision older $24.99 30,262 95% 908k $23M (exactly $22,687,421) KEIZO
Darksiders Warmastered Edition older $19.99 13,942 88% 418k $8.4M (exactly $8,361,017) KAIKO, Vigil Games
NINJA GAIDEN: Ragebound $24.99 2,500 92% 75k $1.9M (exactly $1,874,250) The Game Kitchen
Castlevania Dominus Collection older $24.99 2,362 94% 71k $1.8M (exactly $1,770,791) KONAMI
Castlevania Advance Collection older $19.99 2,149 91% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,288,755) KONAMI
Bō: Path of the Teal Lotus older $19.99 1,398 82% 42k $838k (exactly $838,381) Squid Shock Studios, Christopher Stair,… (Squid Shock Studios, Christopher Stair, Trevor Youngquist)
Shadow Man Remastered older $19.99 1,368 94% 41k $820k (exactly $820,390) Nightdive Studios, Acclaim Studios Tees… (Nightdive Studios, Acclaim Studios Teesside)
Slain: Back from Hell older $12.99 1,692 71% 51k $659k (exactly $659,372) Steel Mantis
BLADECHIMERA $14.99 1,358 88% 41k $611k (exactly $610,693) Team Ladybug, WSS playground
The Devil Within: Satgat $24.99 795 78% 24k $596k (exactly $596,012) Newcore Games
Eternity Egg · EA $19.99 577 82% 17k $346k (exactly $346,027) USERLANDS
Ariana and the Elder Codex $29.99 69 65% 2.1k $62k (exactly $62,079) Idea Factory, Compile Heart, HYDE, Inc.
DAMON and BABY $19.99 87 89% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) Arc System Works
Stardust Demon $19.99 77 83% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) resnijars
Saint Slayer: Spear of Sacrilege $9.99 109 94% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,667) Lillymo Games
Beholgar 2 $11.99 77 80% 2.3k $28k (exactly $27,697) Serkan Bakar
Hellscreen $17.99 45 80% 1.4k $24k (exactly $24,286) Jamie D, Mixtape Games UK

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.