Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Deckbuilding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Deckbuilding?

Online Co-Op + Deckbuilding

Of 30 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Deckbuilding in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 103 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×2.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×231 the market median. Revenue is up 835% on the market; 103 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 835% on the market, 103 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Deckbuilding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $30k → $4.5k → $208 → $21k → $17k (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Deckbuilding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,118)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $23,384)
Top 5% $346k (exactly $345,755)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 75
Announced 103
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 835% on the market, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 36%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Deckbuilding; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Co-op, RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 3,150 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 5 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 103 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gloomhaven older $34.99 13,628 82% 409k $14M (exactly $14,305,312) Flaming Fowl Studios, Saber Interactive
Across the Obelisk older $19.99 10,689 80% 321k $6.4M (exactly $6,410,193) Dreamsite Games
HELLCARD older $24.99 3,368 86% 101k $2.5M (exactly $2,524,990) Thing Trunk
TerraScape older $14.99 2,068 88% 62k $930k (exactly $929,980) Bitfall Studios
The Lord of the Rings: Adventure Card Game - Definitive Edition older $19.99 1,201 76% 36k $720k (exactly $720,240) ·
Spellmasons older $19.99 1,122 91% 34k $673k (exactly $672,863) Octavia Blue
Vivid World $19.99 591 88% 18k $354k (exactly $354,423) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
Witch's Apocalyptic Journey $8.99 1,282 84% 38k $346k (exactly $345,755) MeowAlive
Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? $24.99 448 88% 13k $336k (exactly $335,866) Sting
Battle Bands: Rock & Roll Deckbuilder older $14.99 170 90% 5.1k $76k (exactly $76,449) Aerie Digital
Eyes of Hellfire · EA $9.99 153 70% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,854) Gambrinous
2 Fights in 2 Tight Spaces · EA $12.99 115 84% 3.5k $45k (exactly $44,816) Ground Shatter
I'm No Demonlord $8.99 163 84% 4.9k $44k (exactly $43,961) NiaoWu Studio
Evolve or Die $4.99 252 98% 7.6k $38k (exactly $37,724) Seal
Fairtravel Battle CCG · EA $14.99 52 98% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Flaming Torch Games
Keep the Heroes Out $19.99 35 60% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,990) Brueh Games, YarnCat Games
Flawed Tactics $9.99 59 89% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Flawed Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.