Do I ship it?

GamesDating SimDating Sim + Zombies

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Zombie Dating Sim?

Dating Sim + Zombies

Of 35 developers who shipped a Zombie Dating Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×272 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 17 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 17 announced, ×0.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dating Sim + Zombies
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $19k → $28k → $748 → $629 → $0 (still earning) → $24k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dating Sim + Zombies: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,405)
Top 5% $171k (exactly $171,078)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 66
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Zombies
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Dating Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,334 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $750, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dating Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WarStrong odds8 devs · median $100k · 3 announced
  2. + FMVStrong odds148 devs · median $57k · 111 announced
  3. + Souls-likeStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  4. + AliensStrong odds20 devs · median $6.7k · 15 announced
  5. + PlatformerStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair39 devs · median $27k · 44 announced
  7. + FPSFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  8. + Post-apocalypticFair29 devs · median $15k · 34 announced
  9. + Quick-Time EventsFair17 devs · median $15k · 16 announced
  10. + Immersive SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  11. + Action-AdventureFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  12. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced

All 142 pairs on the Dating Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Monster Prom older $11.99 12,245 93% 367k $4.4M (exactly $4,404,526) Beautiful Glitch
SubZero $9.99 2,719 92% 82k $815k (exactly $814,884) Joy Media Limited
Seed of the Dead older $14.99 1,058 79% 32k $476k (exactly $475,783) TeamKRAMA
Her World older $14.99 467 96% 14k $210k (exactly $210,010) TALESSHOP Co., Ltd.
EPHEMERAL -FANTASY ON DARK- older $39.99 173 87% 5.2k $208k (exactly $207,548) dramatic create
Apocalypse with Femboy $12.99 439 89% 13k $171k (exactly $171,078) Pout Honey
Milky Way Prince – The Vampire Star older $14.99 288 82% 8.6k $130k (exactly $129,514) Eyeguys, Lorenzo Redaelli
Cursed Lands older $24.99 124 73% 3.7k $93k (exactly $92,963) Winter Wolves
No Socks RPG $9.99 286 92% 8.6k $86k (exactly $85,714) Spicyfuse
Anime vs Evil: Apocalypse older $14.99 179 74% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Axyos Games
Lustful Dead 🔞 $9.99 267 49% 8.0k $80k (exactly $80,020) BanzaiProject
Lust 'n Dead 🔞 $9.99 212 66% 6.4k $64k (exactly $63,536) Octo Games
World of Witchcraft $9.99 94 59% 2.8k $28k (exactly $28,172) Mystic Sin Creations
Saviour of the Wasteland $9.99 84 78% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) PTGames
Sex Vault: The Lust-Tec Project $9.99 79 83% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Kinky Business Group
翎之歌 $6.99 83 89% 2.5k $17k (exactly $17,405) YuKi制作组, 崩溃猛犸
Alien Agent X · EA $3.99 71 57% 2.1k $8.5k (exactly $8,499) SGALIEN.Software.US

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.