Do I ship it?

Games › Dating Sim › Dating Sim + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Dating Sim?

Dating Sim + Vampires

Of 38 developers who shipped a Vampire Dating Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×1934 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 47 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 47 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dating Sim + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $31k → $38k → $16k → $2.5k → $0 (still earning) → $20k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dating Sim + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $33,124)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 75
Announced 47
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Dating Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Choices Matter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 9,380 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dating Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WarStrong odds8 devs · median $100k · 3 announced
  2. + FMVStrong odds148 devs · median $57k · 111 announced
  3. + Souls-likeStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  4. + AliensStrong odds20 devs · median $6.7k · 15 announced
  5. + PlatformerStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair39 devs · median $27k · 44 announced
  7. + FPSFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  8. + Post-apocalypticFair29 devs · median $15k · 34 announced
  9. + Quick-Time EventsFair17 devs · median $15k · 16 announced
  10. + Immersive SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  11. + Action-AdventureFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  12. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced

All 142 pairs on the Dating Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

CODE VEIN II 2026 · $11M Monster Prom 2018 · $4.4M AKIBA'S TRIP: Undead ＆ Undressed 2015 · $1.8M Cabernet 2025 · $1.2M Vampires' Melody 2020 · $665k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
CODE VEIN II $69.99 5,193 66% 156k $11M (exactly $10,903,742) Bandai Namco Studios Inc.
Monster Prom older $11.99 12,245 93% 367k $4.4M (exactly $4,404,526) Beautiful Glitch
AKIBA'S TRIP: Undead ＆ Undressed older $19.99 3,076 84% 92k $1.8M (exactly $1,844,677) ACQUIRE Corp.
Cabernet $19.99 2,025 94% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392) Party for Introverts
Vampires' Melody older $3.99 5,559 97% 167k $665k (exactly $665,412) AsicxArt
Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds older $9.99 1,952 92% 59k $585k (exactly $585,014) Idea Factory, Design Factory
Blood Code older $9.99 1,728 73% 52k $518k (exactly $517,882) ZiX Solutions, Weixi Studio
Hakuoki: Edo Blossoms older $9.99 928 95% 28k $278k (exactly $278,122) Idea Factory, Design Factory
Sex & Blood: Vampires $9.99 759 71% 23k $227k (exactly $227,472) Taboo Tales 💘
The Seven Realms - Realm 1: Terran older $9.99 708 81% 21k $212k (exactly $212,188) SeptCloud Games
The Seven Realms: High Lathión $12.99 427 80% 13k $166k (exactly $166,402) SeptCloud Games
Erannorth Renaissance $19.99 186 81% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Spyridon Thalassinos
No Socks RPG $9.99 286 92% 8.6k $86k (exactly $85,714) Spicyfuse
Futa Nights: Bloody Sluts 💋 $14.99 159 74% 4.8k $72k (exactly $71,502) Dirty Adventures 🖤
Blood & Lust [18+]🩸 $9.99 161 75% 4.8k $48k (exactly $48,252) Carnality INC
A College of Thirst & Claws · EA $11.99 117 73% 3.5k $42k (exactly $42,085) SeptCloud Games
Phantom of the Twilight $18.99 67 77% 2.0k $38k (exactly $38,170) Lumiere Entertainment Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.