Games › Turn-Based Strategy › Turn-Based Strategy + Dating Sim
Should I ship a Dating Sim Turn-Based Strategy?
Turn-Based Strategy + Dating Sim
Of 26 developers who shipped a Dating Sim Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $22k, ×35 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $6.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $500k, ×805 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 33 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $5.9k (exactly $5,935) |
|---|---|
| Median | $22k (exactly $22,035) |
| Top 25% | $50k (exactly $50,375) |
| Top 5% | $506k (exactly $505,631) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 26 |
| Released games | 79 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Strategy
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Strategy, Dating Sim; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Turn-Based Combat
- Price point
- $10.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 6,844 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $6.0k. 5 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + Cold WarFair
- + RomeFair
- + LootFair
- + MiningFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + TanksFair
- + SokobanFair
- + Top-Down ShooterFair
- + SpaceFair
Comparable games
Persona 5 Royal 2022 · $165M 
Persona 3 Reload 2024 · $78M 
Persona 4 Golden 2020 · $43M 
Persona 3 Portable 2023 · $2.8M 
Re:ZERO -Starting Life in Another World- The Prophecy of the Throne 2021 · $1.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Persona 5 Royal | older | $59.99 | 91,682 96% | 2.8M | $165M (exactly $165,000,095) | ATLUS |
| | Persona 3 Reload | older | $59.99 | 43,497 95% | 1.3M | $78M (exactly $78,281,551) | ATLUS |
| | Persona 4 Golden | older | $19.99 | 71,306 97% | 2.1M | $43M (exactly $42,762,208) | ATLUS |
| | Persona 3 Portable | older | $19.99 | 4,728 81% | 142k | $2.8M (exactly $2,835,382) | ATLUS |
| | Re:ZERO -Starting Life in Another World- The Prophecy of the Throne | older | $59.99 | 1,042 87% | 31k | $1.9M (exactly $1,875,287) | Chime Corporation |
 | The Arrogant Kaiju Princess and The Detective Servant | older | $14.99 | 3,468 96% | 104k | $1.6M (exactly $1,559,560) | ARTcelerator, PantyParrot |
 | Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening | · EA | $17.99 | 2,458 85% | 74k | $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) | U-Secret Studio |
 | Robolife-Days with Aino | older | $14.99 | 1,387 91% | 42k | $624k (exactly $623,734) | Barance Studio |
 | Ledgerbound | $29.99 | 562 92% | 17k | $506k (exactly $505,631) | OmniMegaSuperCorp | |
 | Sunrider: Liberation Day - Captain's Edition | older | $24.99 | 621 84% | 19k | $466k (exactly $465,564) | Love in Space |
 | WindStop Strategy | $9.99 | 1,494 78% | 45k | $448k (exactly $447,752) | Xia Start | |
 | MeteoriteFall | $12.99 | 651 78% | 20k | $254k (exactly $253,695) | ST studio | |
 | Cradle of Nightmare : Flowers to you | $6.99 | 705 92% | 21k | $148k (exactly $147,838) | 红锈雨 | |
 | 👑Idle Calibur：Zero💕（选王之剑：零） | $10.99 | 445 80% | 13k | $147k (exactly $146,716) | 绝汪 | |
 | Nova Hearts | $19.99 | 84 67% | 2.5k | $50k (exactly $50,375) | Lightbulb Crew | |
 | I'm Not Sex King | $10.99 | 147 76% | 4.4k | $48k (exactly $48,466) | Sex King | |
 | 修仙•母珠传 Pig Training Legend | $7.99 | 192 72% | 5.8k | $46k (exactly $46,022) | MouseKKK | |
 | Demon Maiden and Slave Summoning | $10.99 | 106 82% | 3.2k | $35k (exactly $34,948) | Sunspot |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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