Do I ship it?

Games › Dating Sim › Dating Sim + Transhumanism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Transhumanist Dating Sim?

Dating Sim + Transhumanism

Of 21 developers who shipped a Transhumanist Dating Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $390, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $20k, ×43 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 21 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 21 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dating Sim + Transhumanism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $802 → $599 → $21k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dating Sim + Transhumanism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $386 (exactly $386)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $20,627)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 35
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Transhumanism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Dating Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Interactive Fiction, Point & Click
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 308 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $390, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dating Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WarStrong odds8 devs · median $100k · 3 announced
  2. + FMVStrong odds148 devs · median $57k · 111 announced
  3. + Souls-likeStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  4. + AliensStrong odds20 devs · median $6.7k · 15 announced
  5. + PlatformerStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair39 devs · median $27k · 44 announced
  7. + FPSFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  8. + Post-apocalypticFair29 devs · median $15k · 34 announced
  9. + Quick-Time EventsFair17 devs · median $15k · 16 announced
  10. + Immersive SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  11. + Action-AdventureFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  12. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced

All 142 pairs on the Dating Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Lightracer Spark 2023 · $378k Cockwork Industries Complete 2019 · $259k Max's Big Bust 2 - Max's Bigger Bust 2021 · $53k A Moment of Bliss 2025 · $21k DATING OF THE FUTURE 2025 · $21k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lightracer Spark older $12.99 970 83% 29k $378k (exactly $378,009) Smartmelon Games
Cockwork Industries Complete older $9.99 864 76% 26k $259k (exactly $258,941) Digital Seductions
Max's Big Bust 2 - Max's Bigger Bust older $29.99 59 94% 1.8k $53k (exactly $53,082) Lached Up Games
A Moment of Bliss $7.99 87 90% 2.6k $21k (exactly $20,854) Keys to My Lockheart
DATING OF THE FUTURE $15.99 43 90% 1.3k $21k (exactly $20,627) geoWaffle
Fallen Seeds older $6.99 83 87% 2.5k $17k (exactly $17,405) KPD
Speaking Simulator older $7.99 57 80% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Affable Games
Alter Evo $14.99 23 95% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Technical Fiction
A Wild Catgirl Appears! older $2.99 79 62% 2.4k $7.1k (exactly $7,086) NewWestGames
惑星游侠-Planet Rogue older $16.99 10 80% 300 $5.1k (exactly $5,097) 赛里斯南方游戏工作室 [Sinae South Game Studio]
Sky Resort 2 $9.99 12 75% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) CrazySky3D
黄色猫片 $0.99 100 91% 3.0k $3.0k (exactly $2,970) Basement Games, 86岁按时吃饭
Professor mother-in-law begged me to get pregnant $9.99 3 33% 90 $899 (exactly $899) CHEN JIAWEI
UFO $0.99 27 81% 810 $802 (exactly $802) jiangli
OKeverything:Evil Boy 1001 Sinful Reincarnations $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) X.OKE.FAN
Horny Sister-in-Law's Midnight Demand $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) FSK2000X
THE SACRED MEMORY $1.99 9 88% 270 $537 (exactly $537) VICAVISUAL

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.