Do I ship it?

Games › Dating Sim › Dating Sim + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Dating Sim?

Dating Sim + Tabletop

Of 20 developers who shipped a Tabletop Dating Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×3.8 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 380% on the market; 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 380% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dating Sim + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $897 → $24k → $449 → $358 → $1.3k → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dating Sim + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,293)
Top 5% $666k (exactly $665,778)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 56
Announced 14
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 380% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Dating Sim, Tabletop; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Simulation, Automation
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $4.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,050 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $660k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dating Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WarStrong odds8 devs · median $100k · 3 announced
  2. + FMVStrong odds148 devs · median $57k · 111 announced
  3. + Souls-likeStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  4. + AliensStrong odds20 devs · median $6.7k · 15 announced
  5. + PlatformerStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair39 devs · median $27k · 44 announced
  7. + FPSFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  8. + Post-apocalypticFair29 devs · median $15k · 34 announced
  9. + Quick-Time EventsFair17 devs · median $15k · 16 announced
  10. + Immersive SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  11. + Action-AdventureFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  12. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced

All 142 pairs on the Dating Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Stripjong - Super Real Mahjong Venus Returns 2026 · $666k Pieces of my Heart 2020 · $115k Happy Guy 2021 · $56k XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ 2023 · $37k Pleasure Party 2 2023 · $24k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stripjong - Super Real Mahjong Venus Returns $29.99 740 80% 22k $666k (exactly $665,778) ILLUMINATION
Pieces of my Heart older $9.99 385 82% 12k $115k (exactly $115,384) Kinky Fridays
Happy Guy older $2.99 620 77% 19k $56k (exactly $55,614) HappyGames
XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ older $10.99 112 75% 3.4k $37k (exactly $36,926) IMaiIna_, INA
Pleasure Party 2 older $14.99 53 56% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) HFTGames
Lianhai Casino older $8.99 81 91% 2.4k $22k (exactly $21,846) 致意
Your Second Wife $3.99 135 84% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) Kygua Tech
Anime Artist older $1.99 179 83% 5.4k $11k (exactly $10,686) Neoclassic Games
Anime Artist: Tiffy’s Notty Secret older $1.99 150 92% 4.5k $9.0k (exactly $8,955) Neoclassic Games
Pretty Girl Puzzle · Summer Phantom $4.99 50 98% 1.5k $7.5k (exactly $7,485) Pomodoro Lab
BIG TOYS $3.99 28 89% 840 $3.4k (exactly $3,352) Kawaii
Fishing On My Desktop $4.99 22 95% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) ColaCatGames
Last Sin of Soul $2.99 36 83% 1.1k $3.2k (exactly $3,229) Rabro
你的妹子 Your Girl $2.99 14 57% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) GAZEM
Sweet Whiskers: Cozy Kitty Stories $1.99 16 93% 480 $955 (exactly $955) Anime Aqua Games
Big-Breasted Goth Mommies - Sex Puzzles $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Natasha Delor
Your mini wife $2.99 5 40% 150 $449 (exactly $449) 3DPeta

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.