Games › Dating Sim › Dating Sim + Robots
Should I ship a Robot Dating Sim?
Dating Sim + Robots
Only 15 developers shipped a Robot Dating Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MOTORSLICE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $10k, ×16 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $3.2M, ×5221 the market median. Revenue is up 480% on the market; 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $3.1k (exactly $3,118) |
|---|---|
| Median | $10k (exactly $10,132) |
| Top 25% | $55k (exactly $55,145) |
| Top 5% | $3.3M (exactly $3,278,560) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 480% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Robots
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Dating Sim
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 7,882 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $3.2k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Dating Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WarStrong odds
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Souls-likeStrong odds
- + AliensStrong odds
- + PlatformerStrong odds
- + HistoricalFair
- + FPSFair
- + Post-apocalypticFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + TacticalFair
Comparable games
ULTRAKILL 2020 · EA · $192M 
ATRI -My Dear Moments- 2020 · $13M 
MOTORSLICE 2026 · $3.3M 
New Gundam Breaker 2018 · $2.6M 
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- 2016 · $2.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ULTRAKILL | · EA older | $29.99 | 213,450 97% | 6.4M | $192M (exactly $192,040,965) | Arsi "Hakita" Patala |
| | ATRI -My Dear Moments- | older | $20.99 | 21,411 98% | 642k | $13M (exactly $13,482,507) | Frontwing, 枕 |
| | MOTORSLICE | $19.99 | 5,467 85% | 164k | $3.3M (exactly $3,278,560) | Regular Studio | |
| | New Gundam Breaker | older | $49.99 | 1,706 45% | 51k | $2.6M (exactly $2,558,488) | CRAFTS & MEISTER Co., Ltd. |
| | Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- | older | $9.99 | 7,777 95% | 233k | $2.3M (exactly $2,330,767) | Modern Visual Arts Laboratory, SEO INSE… (Modern Visual Arts Laboratory, SEO INSEOK) |
 | Stella of The End | older | $19.99 | 2,858 97% | 86k | $1.7M (exactly $1,713,943) | VisualArts/Key |
 | Projekt: Passion - Season 1 | older | $11.99 | 3,501 92% | 105k | $1.3M (exactly $1,259,310) | Classy Lemon |
 | Robolife-Days with Aino | older | $14.99 | 1,387 91% | 42k | $624k (exactly $623,734) | Barance Studio |
 | Sexbot | $14.99 | 723 86% | 22k | $325k (exactly $325,133) | Llamamann Games | |
 | Heaven Will Be Mine | older | $14.99 | 709 92% | 21k | $319k (exactly $318,837) | Pillow Fight, Worst Girls Games |
 | 我的机器人女友 | $4.99 | 911 90% | 27k | $136k (exactly $136,377) | 时娱游戏 | |
 | Train and Tame | $9.99 | 184 65% | 5.5k | $55k (exactly $55,145) | Tames Games | |
 | My Furry Protogen 3 🐾 | $4.99 | 221 95% | 6.6k | $33k (exactly $33,084) | Dirty Fox Games | |
 | My Protogen Engineer ⚙️ | $4.99 | 213 97% | 6.4k | $32k (exactly $31,886) | Dirty Fox Games | |
 | The Cuniculus of Paradise | $16.99 | 57 87% | 1.7k | $29k (exactly $29,053) | Doubles Core | |
 | DATING OF THE FUTURE | $15.99 | 43 90% | 1.3k | $21k (exactly $20,627) | geoWaffle | |
 | Sex Machina 2 | $12.99 | 26 100% | 780 | $10k (exactly $10,132) | MAGNA GAMES | |
 | Sex Machina | $8.99 | 37 83% | 1.1k | $10k (exactly $9,979) | MAGNA GAMES |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.