Games › Dating Sim › Dating Sim + Nature
Should I ship a Nature Dating Sim?
Dating Sim + Nature
Of 31 developers who shipped a Nature Dating Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×10 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×2973 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 44 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $3.0k (exactly $2,992) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.8k (exactly $4,798) |
| Top 25% | $36k (exactly $35,976) |
| Top 5% | $1.4M (exactly $1,412,294) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 31 |
| Released games | 80 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Nature
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Dating Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $10.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 3D, Comedy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 6,424 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $3.0k. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Dating Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WarStrong odds
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Souls-likeStrong odds
- + AliensStrong odds
- + PlatformerStrong odds
- + HistoricalFair
- + FPSFair
- + Post-apocalypticFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + TacticalFair
Comparable games
STORY OF SEASONS: Grand Bazaar 2025 · $4.7M 
Baby Steps 2025 · $1.4M 
Witchy Life Story 2022 · $579k 
Camp Buddy: Scoutmaster Season 2022 · $425k 
Paradise 2024 · $336k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | STORY OF SEASONS: Grand Bazaar | $49.99 | 3,140 93% | 94k | $4.7M (exactly $4,709,058) | Marvelous Inc. | |
| | Baby Steps | $19.99 | 2,355 90% | 71k | $1.4M (exactly $1,412,294) | Gabe Cuzzillo, Maxi Boch, Bennett Foddy | |
| | Witchy Life Story | older | $19.99 | 965 80% | 29k | $579k (exactly $578,710) | Sundew Studios |
| | Camp Buddy: Scoutmaster Season | older | $39.99 | 354 94% | 11k | $425k (exactly $424,694) | BLits Games |
| | Paradise | older | $19.99 | 561 90% | 17k | $336k (exactly $336,432) | PIL/SLASH |
 | Sisters: Last Day of Summer | older | $24.99 | 408 84% | 12k | $306k (exactly $305,878) | Jellyfish |
 | World's Dawn | older | $9.99 | 736 80% | 22k | $221k (exactly $220,579) | Wayward Prophet |
 | Hachishakusama | 八尺様がいた夏休み | $7.44 | 388 94% | 12k | $87k (exactly $86,602) | Fukachi World | |
 | Lust Island🌴[18+] | older | $9.99 | 226 53% | 6.8k | $68k (exactly $67,732) | Octo Games |
 | Horny: Zero Moan 🔞🦕 | $14.99 | 121 69% | 3.6k | $54k (exactly $54,414) | Lewd Star | |
 | Him, the Smile ＆ bloom | $29.99 | 44 88% | 1.3k | $40k (exactly $39,587) | EDIA / TEAM Entertainment Inc. MintLip. | |
 | Rewrite Harvest festa! | $19.99 | 64 96% | 1.9k | $38k (exactly $38,381) | VisualArts/Key | |
 | MILF's Camp🔥 | $9.99 | 121 76% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $36,264) | Play and Cum 💦 | |
 | HARMONIC REFLECTIONS | $14.99 | 80 93% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $35,976) | Laplacian | |
 | Paradise: Musubi | $14.99 | 73 98% | 2.2k | $33k (exactly $32,828) | PIL/SLASH | |
 | Primal Hearts | $24.99 | 38 89% | 1.1k | $28k (exactly $28,489) | Marmalade |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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