Games › Dating Sim › Dating Sim + Medieval
Should I ship a Medieval Dating Sim?
Dating Sim + Medieval
Of 56 developers who shipped a Medieval Dating Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 75 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.5k, ×16 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×674 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 75 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $3.1k (exactly $3,148) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.5k (exactly $7,492) |
| Top 25% | $35k (exactly $34,948) |
| Top 5% | $320k (exactly $320,293) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 56 |
| Released games | 154 |
| Announced | 75 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Medieval
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Dating Sim; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 5,988 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $3.2k. 7 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 75 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Dating Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WarStrong odds
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Souls-likeStrong odds
- + AliensStrong odds
- + PlatformerStrong odds
- + HistoricalFair
- + FPSFair
- + Post-apocalypticFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + TacticalFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty | older | $9.99 | 49,765 94% | 1.5M | $15M (exactly $14,914,570) | 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame) |
| | Volcano Princess | older | $10.99 | 45,019 97% | 1.4M | $15M (exactly $14,842,764) | 养蛋人 Egg Hatcher |
| | Clanfolk | · EA older | $29.99 | 3,779 91% | 113k | $3.4M (exactly $3,399,966) | MinMax Games Ltd. |
| | Lakeburg Legacies | older | $27.58 | 1,302 71% | 39k | $1.1M (exactly $1,077,275) | Ishtar Games |
| | Princess Maker 2 Refine | older | $19.99 | 1,610 93% | 48k | $966k (exactly $965,517) | CFK Co., Ltd. |
| | Goblin Vyke: The Thief Tycoon | $14.99 | 1,397 70% | 42k | $628k (exactly $628,231) | Art Thieves | |
| | Ravager | · EA older | $19.99 | 909 93% | 27k | $545k (exactly $545,127) | 4MinuteWarning |
| | Spice&Wolf VR2 | older | $24.99 | 663 96% | 20k | $497k (exactly $497,051) | SpicyTails |
| | Knightly Passions | older | $11.99 | 1,331 90% | 40k | $479k (exactly $478,761) | FEYADA |
| | Jerez's Arena | older | $19.99 | 648 80% | 19k | $389k (exactly $388,606) | 永恆艾莉絲工坊, 樂磚Joy Brick |
| | Handyman Fantasy | $7.99 | 1,607 95% | 48k | $385k (exactly $385,198) | SupaShinKen Studio | |
| | Fallen / Brand New World | $29.99 | 356 94% | 11k | $320k (exactly $320,293) | Parthia Studio LLC | |
| | Forbidden Fantasy | $6.99 | 1,459 88% | 44k | $306k (exactly $305,952) | OppaiMan Studios | |
| | The Ethereal Dream | $19.99 | 263 74% | 7.9k | $158k (exactly $157,721) | 鸭子与葱制作组 | |
| | Becoming a King | $14.99 | 281 77% | 8.4k | $126k (exactly $126,366) | Lustration Team, TopHouse Studio | |
| | Vikings: Sex and Blood | $14.99 | 155 62% | 4.7k | $70k (exactly $69,704) | DreamBig Games | |
| | Holy Whore Emily | $11.99 | 182 75% | 5.5k | $65k (exactly $65,465) | Asami | |
| | Sex Wishes 🔮 | $14.99 | 145 68% | 4.4k | $65k (exactly $65,206) | Dirty Adventures 🖤 | |
| | LUST HAREM: 1001 Pleasures 💞 | $14.99 | 143 71% | 4.3k | $64k (exactly $64,307) | Dirty Adventures 🖤 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.