Games › Dating Sim › Dating Sim + Magic
Should I ship a Magic Dating Sim?
Dating Sim + Magic
Of 85 developers who shipped a Magic Dating Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 136 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $9.9k, ×21 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×521 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 136 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $4.3k (exactly $4,316) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.9k (exactly $9,897) |
| Top 25% | $48k (exactly $48,252) |
| Top 5% | $247k (exactly $247,335) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 85 |
| Released games | 315 |
| Announced | 136 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Magic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Dating Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 17,490 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $4.4k. 6 in 10 of the 47 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 136 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Dating Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WarStrong odds
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Souls-likeStrong odds
- + AliensStrong odds
- + PlatformerStrong odds
- + HistoricalFair
- + FPSFair
- + Post-apocalypticFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + TacticalFair
Comparable games
Sun Haven 2023 · $17M 
Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma 2025 · $5.3M 
Magical Princess 2026 · $3.4M 
Rune Factory 5 2022 · $2.3M 
Rune Factory 4 Special 2021 · $1.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sun Haven | older | $24.99 | 22,069 79% | 662k | $17M (exactly $16,545,129) | Pixel Sprout Studios |
| | Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma | $59.99 | 2,947 88% | 88k | $5.3M (exactly $5,303,716) | Marvelous Inc. | |
| | Magical Princess | $14.99 | 7,636 96% | 229k | $3.4M (exactly $3,433,909) | Neotro Inc., MAGI Inc. | |
| | Rune Factory 5 | older | $39.99 | 1,940 76% | 58k | $2.3M (exactly $2,327,418) | Marvelous Inc. |
| | Rune Factory 4 Special | older | $29.99 | 2,070 88% | 62k | $1.9M (exactly $1,862,379) | Marvelous Inc. |
 | Wylde Flowers | older | $24.99 | 2,329 95% | 70k | $1.7M (exactly $1,746,051) | Studio Drydock Pty Ltd |
 | Fairy Fencer F Advent Dark Force | older | $19.99 | 2,079 85% | 62k | $1.2M (exactly $1,246,776) | IDEA FACTORY, COMPILE HEART |
 | 9-nine-:Episode 2 | older | $19.99 | 1,948 98% | 58k | $1.2M (exactly $1,168,216) | PALETTE |
 | 美女，请别影响我成仙 | $10.99 | 3,140 93% | 94k | $1.0M (exactly $1,035,258) | 蒸汽满满工作室 | |
 | Rune Factory 3 Special | older | $39.99 | 734 94% | 22k | $881k (exactly $880,580) | Marvelous Inc. |
 | Nigate Tale | $19.99 | 678 67% | 20k | $407k (exactly $406,597) | Hermit Games, 2P Games | |
 | Souper Game | $14.99 | 550 78% | 17k | $247k (exactly $247,335) | SinBeans Studio | |
 | Sex & Blood: Vampires | $9.99 | 759 71% | 23k | $227k (exactly $227,472) | Taboo Tales 💘 | |
 | The Seven Realms: High Lathión | $12.99 | 427 80% | 13k | $166k (exactly $166,402) | SeptCloud Games | |
 | The Lust City 2 | $15.99 | 315 79% | 9.5k | $151k (exactly $151,106) | Candylight Studio | |
 | Awaken: Hentai Dice | $14.99 | 333 57% | 10k | $150k (exactly $149,750) | TopHouse Studio | |
 | Cradle of Nightmare : Flowers to you | $6.99 | 705 92% | 21k | $148k (exactly $147,838) | 红锈雨 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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