Games › Cycling › Cycling + Simulation
Should I ship a Simulation Cycling game?
Cycling + Simulation
Only 16 developers shipped a Simulation Cycling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pro Cycling Manager 25, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×348 the market median. Revenue is up 955% on the market; 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $89 (exactly $89) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $2.6k (exactly $2,634) |
| Top 5% | $218k (exactly $218,345) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 70 |
| Announced | 29 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 955% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Cycling
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Simulation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Cycling, Simulation; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Bikes, Sports, Management
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,114 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $89. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Cycling with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Riders Republic | older | $39.99 | 30,458 81% | 914k | $37M (exactly $36,540,463) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa) |
| | Descenders | older | $24.99 | 19,836 95% | 595k | $15M (exactly $14,871,049) | RageSquid |
| | Lonely Mountains: Downhill | older | $19.99 | 2,741 89% | 82k | $1.6M (exactly $1,643,778) | Megagon Industries |
| | Gym Simulator 24 | older | $12.99 | 2,531 84% | 76k | $986k (exactly $986,331) | Red Axe Games |
| | Pro Cycling Manager 25 | $39.99 | 496 75% | 15k | $595k (exactly $595,051) | Cyanide Studio | |
| | Pro Cycling Manager 2022 | older | $39.99 | 433 85% | 13k | $519k (exactly $519,470) | Cyanide Studio |
| | Monster Energy Supercross - The Official Videogame | older | $19.99 | 817 84% | 25k | $490k (exactly $489,955) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | Pro Cycling Manager 2023 | older | $39.99 | 388 74% | 12k | $465k (exactly $465,484) | Cyanide Studio |
| | Pro Cycling Manager 2021 | older | $39.99 | 344 77% | 10k | $413k (exactly $412,697) | Cyanide Studio |
| | Pro Cycling Manager 2024 | older | $39.99 | 340 81% | 10k | $408k (exactly $407,898) | Cyanide Studio |
| | Tour de France 2025 | $39.99 | 182 77% | 5.5k | $218k (exactly $218,345) | Cyanide Studio | |
| | Pro Cycling Manager 26 | $39.99 | 116 65% | 3.5k | $139k (exactly $139,165) | Cyanide Studio | |
| | Tour de France 2026 | $39.99 | 64 75% | 1.9k | $77k (exactly $76,781) | Cyanide Studios | |
| | Motorcycle Night Ride | · EA | $5.99 | 213 76% | 6.4k | $38k (exactly $38,276) | Suber Game Studio, Room Games |
| | Digital Anima: Virtual Lifeform Care Kit | $4.39 | 20 75% | 600 | $2.6k (exactly $2,634) | dankhearts, 双異典 | |
| | Accolade Sports Collection (QUByte Classics) | $19.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | QUByte Interactive | |
| | pedalverse | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | FuristicStudio | |
| | Bike Park Simulator: BMX, Dirt Jump & MTB | · EA | $7.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | Hard Shark Games |
| | Motor Racing Battle | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Liquid Meow |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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