Games › Cycling › Cycling + Physics
Should I ship a Physics Cycling game?
Cycling + Physics
Only 12 developers shipped a Physics Cycling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MAVRIX by Matt Jones, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×1851 the market median. Revenue is up 10180% on the market; 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) |
| Top 25% | $103k (exactly $102,981) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10180% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Cycling, Physics
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,685 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Cycling with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsFair
- + BMXFair
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + BikesPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + RacingPoor odds
- + ArcadePoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + DrivingDead
Comparable games
Descenders 2019 · $15M 
Lonely Mountains: Downhill 2019 · $1.6M 
MAVRIX by Matt Jones 2026 · $1.2M 
Streetdog BMX 2026 · $147k 
VMX 2026 · EA · $103k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Descenders | older | $24.99 | 19,836 95% | 595k | $15M (exactly $14,871,049) | RageSquid |
| | Lonely Mountains: Downhill | older | $19.99 | 2,741 89% | 82k | $1.6M (exactly $1,643,778) | Megagon Industries |
| | MAVRIX by Matt Jones | $39.99 | 969 80% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) | Third Kind Games | |
| | Streetdog BMX | $24.99 | 196 94% | 5.9k | $147k (exactly $146,941) | Yeah Us! Games | |
| | VMX | · EA | $14.99 | 229 89% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Break Free Interactive |
 | BIKEOUT | older | $24.99 | 75 42% | 2.3k | $56k (exactly $56,228) | Black Swan |
 | STREET UNi X | older | $19.99 | 78 96% | 2.3k | $47k (exactly $46,777) | daffodil & friends |
 | Motorcycle Night Ride | · EA | $5.99 | 213 76% | 6.4k | $38k (exactly $38,276) | Suber Game Studio, Room Games |
 | All-In-One Summer Sports VR | · EA older | $19.99 | 45 84% | 1.4k | $27k (exactly $26,986) | Appnori Inc. |
 | DownhillVR | · EA older | $14.99 | 25 88% | 750 | $11k (exactly $11,242) | FiredBy s.r.o. |
 | Bananitro | $3.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $5.6k (exactly $5,626) | Inventario | |
 | pedalverse | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | FuristicStudio | |
 | Legends BMX | $9.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Saga Legends Games | |
 | Bike Park Simulator: BMX, Dirt Jump & MTB | · EA | $7.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Racing: Storm Chase | $1.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $239 (exactly $239) | ChenZepeng | |
 | Unicycle Sheep | $0.99 | 5 40% | 150 | $148 (exactly $148) | Fermented Water |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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