Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Strategy › Turn-Based Strategy + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Cyberpunk

Of 58 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 104 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $2.2M, ×3511 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 104 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 104 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $30k → $2.4k → $1.2k → $3.8k → $5.4k → $179 (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,716)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,205,049)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 138
Announced 104
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Combat, RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 15,907 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $2.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 104 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition 2019 · $16M Quasimorph 2026 · $5.4M Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game 2023 · $4.9M Shadowrun Returns 2013 · $4.3M Invisible, Inc. 2015 · $3.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition older $49.99 10,810 89% 324k $16M (exactly $16,211,757) h.a.n.d., Inc., Media.Vision Inc.
Quasimorph $24.99 7,196 82% 216k $5.4M (exactly $5,394,841) Magnum Scriptum
Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game older $39.99 4,087 87% 123k $4.9M (exactly $4,903,174) Iron Tower Studio
Shadowrun Returns older $14.99 9,521 88% 286k $4.3M (exactly $4,281,594) Harebrained Schemes
Invisible, Inc. older $19.99 5,096 91% 153k $3.1M (exactly $3,056,071) Klei Entertainment
Cyber Knights: Flashpoint $29.99 2,926 93% 88k $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) Trese Brothers
Shadowrun: Dragonfall - Director's Cut older $14.99 5,411 89% 162k $2.4M (exactly $2,433,327) Harebrained Schemes
ZEPHON $39.99 1,838 83% 55k $2.2M (exactly $2,205,049) Proxy Studios
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
Frozen Synapse older $24.99 1,108 89% 33k $831k (exactly $830,668) Mode 7
LUNA $12.99 526 78% 16k $205k (exactly $204,982) Hypnosis Lab, WorkNite Games
TK Punk Gold $11.99 291 87% 8.7k $105k (exactly $104,673) 桑尼游戏(Sunny Game)
Twilight Wars $14.99 229 74% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Comrade Bear Games
Into The Grid · EA $14.99 195 83% 5.9k $88k (exactly $87,692) Flatline Studios
868-BACK $19.99 122 98% 3.7k $73k (exactly $73,163) Michael Brough
Tomomon $14.99 126 70% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) ManicBuild Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.