Do I ship it?

Games › Survival › Survival + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Survival game?

Survival + Cyberpunk

Of 65 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Survival game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 131 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×463 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 131 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 131 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 65
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $300 → $657 → $3.0k → $3.8k → $1.5k → $628 (still earning) → $210 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 65
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $900 (exactly $900)
Top 25% $4.2k (exactly $4,198)
Top 5% $291k (exactly $290,854)
Developers, 2 yr 65
Released games 169
Announced 131
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action Roguelike, Roguelite, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 51,931 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 131 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  4. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  6. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  9. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  10. + Martial ArtsLong shot19 devs · median $419 · 17 announced
  11. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Marathon 2026 · $54M System Shock 2023 · $12M Crysis 2 - Maximum Edition 2011 · $8.4M Distance 2018 · $4.4M >observer_ 2017 · $3.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
System Shock older $39.99 9,786 90% 294k $12M (exactly $11,740,264) Nightdive Studios
Crysis 2 - Maximum Edition older $29.99 9,352 86% 281k $8.4M (exactly $8,413,994) Crytek Studios
Distance older $24.99 5,832 93% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,372,250) Refract
>observer_ older $29.99 4,030 79% 121k $3.6M (exactly $3,625,791) Bloober Team SA
Ostranauts $19.99 3,137 77% 94k $1.9M (exactly $1,881,259) Blue Bottle Games
P.A.M.E.L.A.® older $24.99 846 58% 25k $634k (exactly $634,246) NVYVE® Studios
TerraTech Legion $9.99 2,109 81% 63k $632k (exactly $632,067) Payload Studios
Whisker Squadron: Survivor $19.99 485 77% 15k $291k (exactly $290,854) Flippfly LLC
Furry Killer older $29.99 241 78% 7.2k $217k (exactly $216,828) Sujikon
Blood Running $16.99 198 68% 5.9k $101k (exactly $100,921) Dead Unicorn
Desperate Place $10.99 253 66% 7.6k $83k (exactly $83,414) BruceGalaxy
Survivor's Notes $6.99 352 91% 11k $74k (exactly $73,814) MYSTERY CROWN, YESPLAY
永生之庭 $7.99 284 48% 8.5k $68k (exactly $68,075) IMaiIna
Shell Runner $14.99 80 57% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) Reija
SEXXX GIRLS [18+] $9.99 114 71% 3.4k $34k (exactly $34,166) Lust Desires 🖤

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.