Do I ship it?

GamesStrategy RPGStrategy RPG + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Cyberpunk

Of 26 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Strategy RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×326 the market median. Revenue is up 190% on the market; 59 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 190% on the market, 59 announced, ×5.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $95k → $2.4k → $1.2k → $6.0k → $1.7k → $5.1k (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $750 (exactly $750)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 5% $205k (exactly $204,982)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 70
Announced 59
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 190% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy RPG; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 4,165 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cyber Knights: Flashpoint $29.99 2,926 93% 88k $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) Trese Brothers
Punch Club 2: Fast Forward older $19.99 3,808 81% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,283,658) Lazy Bear Games
Nowhere Prophet older $24.99 721 77% 22k $541k (exactly $540,534) Sharkbomb Studios
LUNA $12.99 526 78% 16k $205k (exactly $204,982) Hypnosis Lab, WorkNite Games
Memoirs of a Battle Brothel older $19.99 207 84% 6.2k $124k (exactly $124,138) A Memory of Eternity
TK Punk Gold $11.99 291 87% 8.7k $105k (exactly $104,673) 桑尼游戏(Sunny Game)
Theseus Protocol older $9.99 317 65% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,005) YueTang(Xiamen)
Conglomerate 451 older $19.99 145 62% 4.4k $87k (exactly $86,956) RuneHeads
Depth of Extinction older $14.99 175 72% 5.3k $79k (exactly $78,698) HOF Studios
Mechajammer older $12.99 190 48% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,043) Whalenought Studios
HeistGeist $19.90 116 95% 3.5k $69k (exactly $69,252) Doublequote Studio
Moves Of The Diamond Hand · EA $19.99 105 100% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Cosmo D Studios
Tomomon $14.99 126 70% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) ManicBuild Studio
Remnants of the Rift $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Bromio
Money And Lady | 财貌双全 $9.99 20 35% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Happy DLC Studio
Augmented Empire $7.99 25 88% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Coatsink
Hostile Takeover $11.99 15 93% 450 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Whispering Spider Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.