Do I ship it?

GamesQuick-Time EventsQuick-Time Events + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Quick-Time Events game?

Quick-Time Events + Cyberpunk

Only 18 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Quick-Time Events game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Neon Blood, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $39k, ×63 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 18 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 18 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Quick-Time Events + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.7k → $899 → $270 → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Quick-Time Events + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,648)
Top 5% $39k (exactly $39,398)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 37
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Quick-Time Events; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Combat
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2.5D, 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 165 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $540, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $39k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Quick-Time Events with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $15k · 16 announced
  2. + Shoot 'Em UpFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  3. + Life SimFair28 devs · median $958 · 33 announced
  4. + SimulationFair116 devs · median $748 · 133 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair15 devs · median $720 · 18 announced
  6. + Resource ManagementFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  8. + AliensFair12 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  9. + SpaceFair16 devs · median $597 · 24 announced
  10. + Bullet TimeLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  11. + DemonsLong shot17 devs · median $300 · 22 announced
  12. + Bullet HellLong shot27 devs · median $239 · 25 announced

All 110 pairs on the Quick-Time Events page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
反转21克 older $8.99 1,020 72% 31k $275k (exactly $275,094) 想象颗粒
A.D. 2047 older $19.99 79 62% 2.4k $47k (exactly $47,376) Leenzee Games
Neon Blood $17.99 73 60% 2.2k $39k (exactly $39,398) ChaoticBrain Studios
Gripper older $19.99 51 84% 1.5k $31k (exactly $30,585) Heart Core
Disco Samurai $9.99 45 88% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Pixel Fiber Games
Agent in Depth older $2.99 108 93% 3.2k $9.7k (exactly $9,688) Naturepixel Studios, SkyBrave
Bot Loop $8.99 11 81% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) ciego
KeyFortress · EA $7.99 12 83% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Daisen
Big Byz Wars older $12.99 6 83% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Tommy Gun Walrus
UNPLUGGED older $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) omidjm
UNPLUG - The Game · EA $10.99 5 100% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) GoldLime Studios
SeaQuestDungeon $7.99 5 80% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) AlchemistGame
Cyber UF2 $3.99 7 100% 210 $838 (exactly $838) 3DBBQ
Customer Disservice $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Sudden Frog
Tired $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) EXHAUST3D
100 Wars $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) 文艺复兴雪

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.