Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cooking Shooter?

Shooter + Cooking

Only 17 developers shipped a Cooking Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SULFUR, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $7.2M, ×11509 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 28 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $6.3k → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $41k (exactly $40,553)
Top 5% $7.2M (exactly $7,227,858)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 38
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 365% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Cooking; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Survival
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Difficult, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 10,493 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $40k, 1 in 20 over $7.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SULFUR · EA $24.99 9,641 87% 289k $7.2M (exactly $7,227,858) Perfect Random
Badiya: Desert Survival · EA older $19.99 284 50% 8.5k $170k (exactly $170,315) Semaphore
Project: Mist · EA $17.99 257 72% 7.7k $139k (exactly $138,703) Chicken Launcher
Pizza Bandit · EA $24.99 185 82% 5.6k $139k (exactly $138,694) JOFSOFT
Abyss Kitchen $11.99 202 89% 6.1k $73k (exactly $72,659) Pico Games
Baking Bad · EA $10.99 123 32% 3.7k $41k (exactly $40,553) FunkyArmor
Territory · EA older $14.99 57 64% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) Threat Vector
Zombie Chef $9.99 40 50% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Voidy
Terafall: Survival older $10.99 33 42% 990 $11k (exactly $10,880) Terafall: Survival
Kebabstar 🌯⭐ · EA $14.99 14 78% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Zeybek
Fade Survival · EA $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Phoenix Gaming Studios
Shawarma Wars $4.99 14 92% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Simply The Best
Candy Brain $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Muscular Kittens

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.