Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Conspiracy
Should I ship a Conspiracy Multiple Endings game?
Multiple Endings + Conspiracy
Of 86 developers who shipped a Conspiracy Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 180 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $810, ×1.7 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $93k, ×197 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 180 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $807 (exactly $807) |
| Top 25% | $6.0k (exactly $5,994) |
| Top 5% | $94k (exactly $93,542) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 86 |
| Released games | 225 |
| Announced | 180 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Conspiracy
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Adventure, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 9,850 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 43 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 180 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
The Hundred Line -Last Defense Academy- 2025 · $12M 
Pentiment 2022 · $5.5M 
Far Away 2021 · $3.0M 
The Bridge Curse 2: The Extrication 2024 · $1.9M 
Vampire: The Masquerade – Swansong 2023 · $841k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Hundred Line -Last Defense Academy- | $59.99 | 6,893 88% | 207k | $12M (exactly $12,405,332) | Too Kyo Games, Media.Vision Inc. | |
| | Pentiment | older | $19.99 | 9,231 95% | 277k | $5.5M (exactly $5,535,831) | Obsidian Entertainment |
| | Far Away | older | $12.99 | 7,598 94% | 228k | $3.0M (exactly $2,960,941) | Gratesca |
| | The Bridge Curse 2: The Extrication | older | $24.99 | 2,493 93% | 75k | $1.9M (exactly $1,869,002) | SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT |
| | Vampire: The Masquerade – Swansong | older | $49.99 | 561 65% | 17k | $841k (exactly $841,332) | Big Bad Wolf |
 | ROBOTICS;NOTES ELITE | older | $34.99 | 698 90% | 21k | $733k (exactly $732,691) | MAGES. Inc. |
 | Fetish Locator Week One | older | $9.99 | 2,418 84% | 73k | $725k (exactly $724,675) | ViNovella Games |
 | Oddworld: Soulstorm Enhanced Edition | older | $39.99 | 504 65% | 15k | $605k (exactly $604,649) | Oddworld Inhabitants |
 | Who Pressed Mute on Uncle Marcus? | older | $14.99 | 669 71% | 20k | $301k (exactly $300,849) | Wales Interactive, Good Gate Media |
 | CUCKOLD SIMULATOR: Life as a Beta Male Cuck | $4.99 | 1,680 93% | 50k | $251k (exactly $251,496) | Team SNEED | |
 | Shale Hill Secrets | $14.99 | 245 80% | 7.4k | $110k (exactly $110,176) | Love-Joint | |
 | Phantom PHANTOM OF INFERNO NITRO ARCHIVE | $29.99 | 108 94% | 3.2k | $97k (exactly $97,168) | NITRO PLUS, NITRO ORIGIN | |
 | Lucky Bastard | $15.99 | 195 75% | 5.9k | $94k (exactly $93,542) | LLP Clerik Studio | |
 | PARKSIDE: DECAYED SOUL MANIPULATION | $13.99 | 178 87% | 5.3k | $75k (exactly $74,707) | Banana Hardsoft | |
 | Gnomes and Knights | $4.99 | 372 77% | 11k | $56k (exactly $55,688) | Terletski Games | |
 | Decide 4 God | $29.99 | 49 93% | 1.5k | $44k (exactly $44,085) | Miracle Moon | |
 | NEDRA | $14.99 | 76 76% | 2.3k | $34k (exactly $34,177) | Davit Andreasyan | |
 | Breakthru | $14.99 | 54 50% | 1.6k | $24k (exactly $24,284) | Jan Buta |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.