Games › Diplomacy › Diplomacy + Conspiracy
Should I ship a Conspiracy Diplomacy game?
Diplomacy + Conspiracy
Only 11 developers shipped a Conspiracy Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Prime Monster, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×294 the market median. Revenue is up 500% on the market; 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $148 (exactly $148) |
|---|---|
| Median | $538 (exactly $538) |
| Top 25% | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) |
| Top 5% | $185k (exactly $184,708) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 500% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Diplomacy
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Conspiracy
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Diplomacy
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 84% positive over 382 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Diplomacy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Space SimLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
Comparable games
Solium Infernum 2024 · $1.9M 
Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 2023 · $541k 
Sigma Theory: Global Cold War 2019 · $481k 
Prime Monster 2026 · $185k 
I Am Your President 2023 · $118k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Solium Infernum | older | $39.99 | 1,571 88% | 47k | $1.9M (exactly $1,884,729) | League of Geeks |
| | Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 | older | $24.99 | 721 86% | 22k | $541k (exactly $540,534) | Maestro Cinetik |
| | Sigma Theory: Global Cold War | older | $17.99 | 892 77% | 27k | $481k (exactly $481,412) | Mi-Clos Studio, Goblinz Studio, FibreTi… (Mi-Clos Studio, Goblinz Studio, FibreTigre) |
| | Prime Monster | $19.99 | 308 83% | 9.2k | $185k (exactly $184,708) | Cavalier Game Studios | |
| | I Am Your President | older | $14.99 | 263 66% | 7.9k | $118k (exactly $118,271) | President |
 | Shadows Behind the Throne 2 | older | $7.99 | 47 76% | 1.4k | $11k (exactly $11,266) | Bobby Two Hands |
 | At Eve’s Wake Definitive Edition | older | $9.99 | 35 88% | 1.1k | $10k (exactly $10,490) | Sugar Rush Studios |
 | Statecraft: Corrupted Democracy | $9.99 | 33 90% | 990 | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) | Engincan Çiçek, Bad Engine Studio | |
 | My Liege | $9.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | SugoiPenguin Gaming | |
 | Hedge Fund Tycoon | older | $5.99 | 24 45% | 720 | $4.3k (exactly $4,313) | Stikcy |
 | Overton | $14.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Casey Blase | |
 | Alexandria IV | $11.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | J. M. Beraldo, Time Galleon | |
 | The Tavern Tales: Medieval Simulator | · EA | $2.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $538 (exactly $538) | Flash Ray Games |
 | Junkyard Universe | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | Sarah Dressel | |
 | The Adventure of a Tramp | $0.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $148 (exactly $148) | Anonymous Almighty | |
 | Neo-Exodus: Last Bastion | $2.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | GODev Games | |
 | Meow World Order | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Spiritual Opium |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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