Do I ship it?

GamesDiplomacyDiplomacy + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Diplomacy game?

Diplomacy + Interactive Fiction

Only 12 developers shipped an Interactive Fiction Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $420. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 17 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 17 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Diplomacy + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $78k → $1.5k → $1.0k → $599 (still earning) → $9.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Diplomacy + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,025)
Top 25% $39k (exactly $38,674)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 52
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Diplomacy
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Diplomacy, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 4,023 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 17 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Diplomacy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelFair16 devs · median $5.4k · 19 announced
  2. + Space SimLong shot7 devs · median $360 · 14 announced
  3. + Open WorldPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8M · 38 announced
  4. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $520k · 47 announced
  5. + PvPPoor odds10 devs · median $124k · 44 announced
  6. + SandboxPoor odds34 devs · median $116k · 89 announced
  7. + City BuilderPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced
  8. + SurvivalPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced
  9. + 4XPoor odds29 devs · median $86k · 79 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds50 devs · median $79k · 92 announced
  11. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds30 devs · median $79k · 48 announced
  12. + Character CustomizationPoor odds9 devs · median $63k · 31 announced

All 57 pairs on the Diplomacy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian $24.99 1,356 74% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) Schisma Games
Politics The Game $9.99 2,526 95% 76k $757k (exactly $757,042) Simplicity Games
The Fermi Paradox · EA older $18.99 956 76% 29k $545k (exactly $544,633) Anomaly Games
King Of The Castle older $9.99 1,403 90% 42k $420k (exactly $420,479) Tributary Games
Six Ages: Ride Like the Wind older $19.99 460 81% 14k $276k (exactly $275,862) A Sharp
This Is the President older $14.99 359 67% 11k $161k (exactly $161,442) SuperPAC
Interstellaria older $9.99 353 53% 11k $106k (exactly $105,794) Coldrice Games LLC
Lords of Infinity older $11.99 217 94% 6.5k $78k (exactly $78,055) Hosted Games
HaremKingdom older $29.99 84 83% 2.5k $76k (exactly $75,575) Smee
The Advisor - Episode 1: Royal Pain older $2.99 597 96% 18k $54k (exactly $53,551) Randumb Studios
Lunar Ascendant $14.99 86 44% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Darts Games
Donutal $9.99 30 93% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) Arc System Works
Alexandria IV $11.99 5 80% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) J. M. Beraldo, Time Galleon
Checkpoint Inc $4.27 8 75% 240 $1.0k (exactly $1,025) Punchers
The Princess's Tower · EA $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Infernal Empire Games
A Good Deed On Harris Avenue $2.99 6 83% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Daniel H. May
Junkyard Universe $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Sarah Dressel
墨缇斯:霾影季度 $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) 青礼社Bendetizoin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.