Do I ship it?

GamesCombat RacingCombat Racing + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Combat Racing game?

Combat Racing + Local Multiplayer

Of 44 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Combat Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 79 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×572 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 79 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 79 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $13k → $2.1k → $2.1k → $2.4k → $2.4k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $897 (exactly $897)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,397)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,682)
Top 5% $359k (exactly $359,220)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 155
Announced 79
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Local Multiplayer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, PvP, Split Screen
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 13,916 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 9 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 79 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  12. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sonic Racing: CrossWorlds $69.99 11,479 93% 344k $24M (exactly $24,102,456) Sonic Team
Road Redemption older $19.99 10,842 83% 325k $6.5M (exactly $6,501,947) Redemption Road, Pixel Dash Studios
FlatOut 2 older $9.99 19,466 95% 584k $5.8M (exactly $5,833,960) Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group)
FlatOut: Ultimate Carnage Collector's Edition older $19.99 6,747 89% 202k $4.0M (exactly $4,046,176) Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group)
GRIP: Combat Racing older $29.99 3,669 86% 110k $3.3M (exactly $3,300,999) Caged Element
TRAIL OUT older $19.99 3,019 81% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,810,494) GOOD BOYS
Split/Second older $19.99 1,683 80% 50k $1.0M (exactly $1,009,295) Black Rock Studio
The Karters 2: Turbo Charged · EA $29.99 1,043 91% 31k $938k (exactly $938,387) Pixel Edge Games
Sonic & SEGA All-Stars Racing older $9.99 2,641 88% 79k $792k (exactly $791,508) Sumo Digital
Make Way older $14.99 1,615 91% 48k $726k (exactly $726,266) Ice BEAM
Victory Heat Rally $19.99 599 88% 18k $359k (exactly $359,220) Skydevilpalm
XF Extreme Formula $11.99 366 90% 11k $132k (exactly $131,650) Feperd Games
TRANSFORMERS: Galactic Trials $39.99 93 78% 2.8k $112k (exactly $111,572) 3DClouds
Slip & Skid $12.99 141 97% 4.2k $55k (exactly $54,948) NHOGS Interactive
Moorhuhn Kart 4 $19.99 90 86% 2.7k $54k (exactly $53,973) Korion Interactive
Race Jam $19.99 36 97% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) DiffGames LLC
Matchbox™ Driving Adventures $39.99 16 81% 480 $19k (exactly $19,195) Casual Brothers Ltd.
Mythic Kart Maker · EA $11.99 53 83% 1.6k $19k (exactly $19,064) Dream Mix Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.