Do I ship it?

Games › Combat Racing › Combat Racing + Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Racing Shooter?

Combat Racing + Shooter

Of 49 developers who shipped a Combat Racing Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 103 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $84k, ×135 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 103 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 103 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $599 → $479 → $300 → $2.9k → $1.3k → $239 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,112)
Top 5% $85k (exactly $84,515)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 198
Announced 103
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Shooter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Racing
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Third Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,411 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $84k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 103 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  12. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

GRIP: Combat Racing 2018 · $3.3M Gas Guzzlers Extreme 2013 · $2.3M Rustler (Grand Theft Horse) 2021 · $920k SimplePlanes 2 2026 · EA · $789k Pacer 2020 · $691k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
GRIP: Combat Racing older $29.99 3,669 86% 110k $3.3M (exactly $3,300,999) Caged Element
Gas Guzzlers Extreme older $24.99 3,081 86% 92k $2.3M (exactly $2,309,826) Gamepires
Rustler (Grand Theft Horse) older $24.99 1,227 78% 37k $920k (exactly $919,882) Jutsu Games
SimplePlanes 2 · EA $19.99 1,316 92% 39k $789k (exactly $789,205) Jundroo, LLC
Pacer older $39.99 576 72% 17k $691k (exactly $691,027) R8 Games Ltd
BlazeRush older $9.99 1,031 88% 31k $309k (exactly $308,991) Targem Games
Warhammer 40,000: Speed Freeks $19.99 493 85% 15k $296k (exactly $295,652) Caged Element
Death Rally older $9.99 681 71% 20k $204k (exactly $204,096) Remedy Entertainment, Mountain Sheep, C… (Remedy Entertainment, Mountain Sheep, Cornfox & Brothers)
Space Wars older $29.99 106 86% 3.2k $95k (exactly $95,368) High and Wide
Maiden Cops $9.99 282 87% 8.5k $85k (exactly $84,515) Pippin Games
CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights · EA $13.99 68 55% 2.0k $29k (exactly $28,540) Hed Media Games
Blazing Trail $12.99 63 85% 1.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Gamenergy studio
Pest Apocalypse $9.99 75 94% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) Kikimora Games
Duneborn $11.99 35 51% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,590) A.P Games
Chaos on Wheels $9.99 34 67% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Acodeon Development
Exo Wanderers · EA $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) 什工坊SueStudio
PAKO 4 · EA $9.99 23 91% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Tree Men Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.