Do I ship it?

Games › Combat Racing › Combat Racing + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner Combat Racing game?

Combat Racing + Runner

Of 37 developers who shipped a Runner Combat Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 21 developers shipped in the last year and 34 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 34 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $240 → $1.6k → $150 → $570 → $180 → $1.2k → $90 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $7.6k (exactly $7,645)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 114
Announced 34
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Runner; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Action, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 126 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $7.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  12. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

DeathSprint 66 2024 · $297k Buck Up And Drive! 2022 · $153k Hashire HEBEREKE: EX 2026 · $20k Up N' Down 2023 · $9.8k Witch Epoch 2022 · $9.0k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DeathSprint 66 older $19.99 495 83% 15k $297k (exactly $296,852) Sumo Digital
Buck Up And Drive! older $7.99 640 91% 19k $153k (exactly $153,408) Fábio Fontes
Hashire HEBEREKE: EX $21.99 30 100% 900 $20k (exactly $19,791) CRT GAMES
Up N' Down older $3.99 82 79% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) CashcowGames
Witch Epoch older $24.99 12 91% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Space Ribbon - Slipstream to the Extreme older $3.99 71 57% 2.1k $8.5k (exactly $8,499) Onteca Ltd
BeachRun older $24.99 11 100% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Gamesforgames
Derby Heroines: Run, Bet, Win! $14.99 17 94% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Rain Runner older $4.99 37 91% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) SkyBrave
Riding Seas older $4.99 35 80% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) CatOnTree Studio
Camelbirds $5.99 16 81% 480 $2.9k (exactly $2,875) 5Centov
Billies Wheelie $4.99 17 94% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) M4DOOM
Nitro Turtles $7.99 10 100% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Lucky Turtle
Vertigo Rush · EA $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Sumalab
Nirih $11.99 6 100% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) ShippableGames
RaceWorms $5.49 10 100% 300 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Team Zandt
Auto Pet Racers · EA $4.99 11 54% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) UnscriptedLogic
GMH - Good Morning Human ! $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) W-9000 Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.