Do I ship it?

Games › Combat Racing › Combat Racing + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelite Combat Racing game?

Combat Racing + Roguelite

Only 17 developers shipped a Roguelite Combat Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Samson, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×3475 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 41 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 41 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $22k → $59 → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,258)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,182,377)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 33
Announced 41
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Roguelite; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Racing
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cinematic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 60% positive over 4,125 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  12. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Samson 2026 · $2.2M Carmageddon: Rogue Shift 2026 · $902k Death Roads: Tournament 2023 · $328k Bloody Rally Show 2020 · $149k TRANSFORMERS: Galactic Trials 2024 · $112k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Samson $24.99 2,911 54% 87k $2.2M (exactly $2,182,377) Liquid Swords
Carmageddon: Rogue Shift $39.99 752 62% 23k $902k (exactly $902,174) 34BigThings srl
Death Roads: Tournament older $14.99 729 80% 22k $328k (exactly $327,831) The Knights of Unity
Bloody Rally Show older $19.99 248 89% 7.4k $149k (exactly $148,726) Kodo Linija
TRANSFORMERS: Galactic Trials $39.99 93 78% 2.8k $112k (exactly $111,572) 3DClouds
Gearshifters older $24.99 85 80% 2.6k $64k (exactly $63,724) Red Phantom Games
Nautical Survival $7.99 179 97% 5.4k $43k (exactly $42,906) Idan Rooze
REDLINE CROOKS $11.99 73 100% 2.2k $26k (exactly $26,258) Alexander Golke
Pest Apocalypse $9.99 75 94% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) Kikimora Games
Just Move Fall Dungeon Endless Abyss $15.99 8 50% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) daminggede
ULTIMATE ARMORED TURBODRIFTER ~ SaGa Chapter 2 ~【TANK AUTHORITY WOLFRAM】 $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) The Dark Union
Carnage Kart X · EA $4.99 11 90% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Two Brain Games
Drift Survivors $2.99 7 85% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Kickflip Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.