Do I ship it?

Games › Combat Racing › Combat Racing + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Combat Racing game?

Combat Racing + Roguelike

Of 21 developers who shipped a Roguelike Combat Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 15 developers shipped in the last year and 41 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 41 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $479 → $2.7k → $1.5k → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,838)
Top 5% $43k (exactly $42,906)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 41
Announced 41
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,153 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $240, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $42k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  12. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Carmageddon: Rogue Shift 2026 · $902k Death Roads: Tournament 2023 · $328k Bloody Rally Show 2020 · $149k Nautical Survival 2026 · $43k REDLINE CROOKS 2024 · $26k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Carmageddon: Rogue Shift $39.99 752 62% 23k $902k (exactly $902,174) 34BigThings srl
Death Roads: Tournament older $14.99 729 80% 22k $328k (exactly $327,831) The Knights of Unity
Bloody Rally Show older $19.99 248 89% 7.4k $149k (exactly $148,726) Kodo Linija
Nautical Survival $7.99 179 97% 5.4k $43k (exactly $42,906) Idan Rooze
REDLINE CROOKS $11.99 73 100% 2.2k $26k (exactly $26,258) Alexander Golke
Pest Apocalypse $9.99 75 94% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) Kikimora Games
Tides of The Endless · EA $7.99 25 84% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Shimmer High Sea
Just Move Fall Dungeon Endless Abyss $15.99 8 50% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) daminggede
WARPZONE DRIFTER older $0.99 117 80% 3.5k $3.5k (exactly $3,475) Walter Machado
Road Z : The Last Drive older $4.99 22 72% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Blue Moose Games
Drift Survivor 2 $3.99 26 92% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,112) MEWSTURBO
Sengodai $9.99 5 40% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Tsunoa Games
Drift Survivors $2.99 7 85% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Kickflip Games
Chimera Circuit $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) BLYTHE

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.