Do I ship it?

GamesCombat RacingCombat Racing + Real Time Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Racing Real Time Tactics?

Combat Racing + Real Time Tactics

Only 6 developers shipped a Combat Racing Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dust Raiders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×7.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $630. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×7.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Real Time Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Combat Racing + Real Time Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $356 (exactly $356)
Top 25% $897 (exactly $897)
Top 5% $77k (exactly $76,752)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 25
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Real Time Tactics
Price point
$3.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 338 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $360, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $76k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 15 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  12. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dust Raiders $15.99 160 64% 4.8k $77k (exactly $76,752) Vixa Games
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
BeachRun older $24.99 11 100% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Gamesforgames
KEO · EA older $9.99 27 74% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Redcatpig Studio
SaberStyle older $5.99 10 40% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Lucky Cat studio
RC Death Race: Multiplayer older $2.99 13 53% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Decebal Games Studio
Premier Servi $2.99 10 100% 300 $897 (exactly $897) Florent Baris, Gaspard Thirion, Mickaël… (Florent Baris, Gaspard Thirion, Mickaël Scherlen)
Sky Mad older $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Radical Play LLC
两体 · EA older $5.99 2 0% 60 $359 (exactly $359) 魔书科技
Curvelicious $0.99 12 91% 360 $356 (exactly $356) Filip Strelec
Niut $3.00 2 50% 60 $180 (exactly $180) AF Works ®
Masters of the Air $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) THE POWER OF GAMES
Cyber Bike Duels $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Bashabeth Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.