Do I ship it?

Games › Combat Racing › Combat Racing + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Combat Racing game?

Combat Racing + Precision Platformer

Only 11 developers shipped a Precision Platformer Combat Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nirih, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 18 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper, while revenue is down 50% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $59 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $898 (exactly $898)
Top 5% $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 32
Announced 18
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Precision Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 90% positive over 29 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $240, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $2.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  12. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Up N' Down 2023 · $9.8k Rain Runner 2024 · $5.5k CD-RUN 2019 · $4.5k Tenders Fight 2023 · $3.9k Minigames Mayhem 2024 · EA · $3.1k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Up N' Down older $3.99 82 79% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) CashcowGames
Rain Runner older $4.99 37 91% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) SkyBrave
CD-RUN older $9.99 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Quack Quack Games
Tenders Fight older $4.99 26 96% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Isaac MENARD, Tom BOUTONNAT, Ethis CLAU… (Isaac MENARD, Tom BOUTONNAT, Ethis CLAUSS, Gabriel SOUSSI)
Minigames Mayhem · EA older $6.99 15 100% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) HamsterHam Games
Nirih $11.99 6 100% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) ShippableGames
Magical Girl Dash older $0.99 54 94% 1.6k $1.6k (exactly $1,604) Synnergy Circle Games
GOPOGO · EA $4.99 6 66% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Timothy Vincent
Synth Race $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Chonker Dev
RollBot $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Tsukoni
Landslip $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Pixel Doctrine
Arcade Galaxy $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) RCADE Corp., Macaca Games
Pizza Rogue: P.P.M.P.D.E.S. $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Seaweaver, Snowifer
Parkour Assassin: Sprint Run 2 $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Apex Horizon
Blobbymite: Hero Of Power $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) BlobbymiteGames
Fast Forward $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Finn Lichtenberg

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.