Do I ship it?

GamesCombat RacingCombat Racing + Level Editor

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Level Editor Combat Racing game?

Combat Racing + Level Editor

Only 15 developers shipped a Level Editor Combat Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wreckreation, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $430k, ×688 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 11 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 11 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Level Editor
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $300 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Level Editor: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,682)
Top 5% $432k (exactly $431,892)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 32
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Level Editor
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Level Editor; all of the top 25% also carry Driving, Racing, Split Screen
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 656 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $430k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 11 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  12. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BallisticNG older $14.99 2,285 95% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,027,564) Neognosis
Make Way older $14.99 1,615 91% 48k $726k (exactly $726,266) Ice BEAM
Crashday Redline Edition older $11.99 1,528 89% 46k $550k (exactly $549,622) Moonbyte
Wreckreation $39.99 360 63% 11k $432k (exactly $431,892) Three Fields Entertainment
AI Drone Simulator older $14.99 206 83% 6.2k $93k (exactly $92,638) Diophante Studio
Turbo Sliders Unlimited older $14.99 125 88% 3.8k $56k (exactly $56,212) Antti Mannisto
Slip & Skid $12.99 141 97% 4.2k $55k (exactly $54,948) NHOGS Interactive
Perfect Partner older $8.99 107 79% 3.2k $29k (exactly $28,858) RD Studio
Mythic Kart Maker · EA $11.99 53 83% 1.6k $19k (exactly $19,064) Dream Mix Games
Star Racer $9.99 59 93% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Whatnot Games
Crafty Racer · EA $14.99 11 100% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Peterclark
The Wanted 3 $8.99 13 61% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) 瑶颜游戏
Velocrash · EA $6.99 11 100% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Apolloxian Games
GMH - Good Morning Human ! $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) W-9000 Studio
RollBot $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Tsukoni
ZipRush: Surf the Void · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Narriflux

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.