Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Collectathon game?

Online Co-Op + Collectathon

Of 60 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 119 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.7k, ×2.5 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $480k, ×326 the market median. Revenue is up 180% on the market; 119 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 180% on the market, 119 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 60
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $51k → $8.2k → $4.7k → $25k → $2.5k → $1.3k → $102k (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 60
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Median $3.7k (exactly $3,742)
Top 25% $77k (exactly $77,161)
Top 5% $489k (exactly $488,920)
Developers, 2 yr 60
Released games 126
Announced 119
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 180% on the market, supply 95% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Collectathon; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Adventure, Open World
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 69,650 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $3.7k, 1 in 4 over $77k, 1 in 20 over $480k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 7 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 119 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SpongeBob SquarePants: Battle for Bikini Bottom - Rehydrated older $29.99 14,439 94% 433k $13M (exactly $12,990,768) Purple Lamp
WEBFISHING $4.99 57,353 97% 1.7M $8.6M (exactly $8,585,744) lamedeveloper
Bang-On Balls: Chronicles older $24.99 4,334 96% 130k $3.2M (exactly $3,249,200) Exit Plan Games
Lunch Lady older $4.99 9,722 86% 292k $1.5M (exactly $1,455,383) Manic Mice
Soundfall older $29.99 996 73% 30k $896k (exactly $896,101) Drastic Games
Funko Fusion older $34.99 679 63% 20k $713k (exactly $712,746) 1010 Games
Sledding Game · EA $7.99 2,915 96% 87k $699k (exactly $698,726) The Sledding Corporation
Boo Men · EA older $7.99 2,088 88% 63k $500k (exactly $500,494) Twisted Corridor👻
Supermarket Chaos $4.99 3,266 92% 98k $489k (exactly $488,920) BunnyHop
Biped 2 $14.99 813 71% 24k $366k (exactly $365,606) META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy… (META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy Studios)
Flock Around $4.99 1,954 98% 59k $293k (exactly $292,514) Friend Shaped Games
Paranormal Cleanup $9.99 961 88% 29k $288k (exactly $288,012) Manic Mice
Secret Agent Wizard Boy and the International Crime Syndicate · EA $9.99 931 96% 28k $279k (exactly $279,021) John Szymanski, Evan Szymanski
Big Hops Together $19.99 453 89% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) Luckshot Games
Anime Shop Simulator ✨ $14.99 589 73% 18k $265k (exactly $264,873) One More Time
Mall Together $11.99 415 94% 12k $149k (exactly $149,276) Business Tycoon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.