Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Capitalism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Capitalist Collectathon game?

Collectathon + Capitalism

Of 76 developers who shipped a Capitalist Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 75 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.2k, ×13 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.0k. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 75 games are announced against 52 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.4 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 13.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 130% on the market, 75 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Capitalism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 76
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $11k → $2.5k → $1.9k → $6.2k → $23k → $6.0k (still earning) → $2.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Capitalism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 76
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Median $6.2k (exactly $6,203)
Top 25% $60k (exactly $60,404)
Top 5% $595k (exactly $595,462)
Developers, 2 yr 76
Released games 132
Announced 75
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Capitalism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Economy, Management
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Colorful, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 73,398 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $6.2k, 1 in 4 over $60k, 1 in 20 over $590k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 6 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 75 games are announced against 52 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  3. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  4. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  5. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  6. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  8. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  9. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  11. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  12. + ModernFair22 devs · median $2.2k · 21 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TCG Card Shop Simulator $19.99 47,357 96% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,399,993) OPNeon Games
Chillquarium older $5.99 7,780 92% 233k $1.4M (exactly $1,398,066) Ben Reber
Keep on Mining! $4.99 8,300 93% 249k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,510) EagleEye Games
Digseum $2.99 8,033 97% 241k $721k (exactly $720,560) Rat Monthly
Supercar Collection Simulator $12.99 1,528 85% 46k $595k (exactly $595,462) Kiki Games
Click the Button $3.99 3,849 93% 115k $461k (exactly $460,725) LoopCap
BLACKWOOD $24.99 565 46% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) AttritoM7 Productions
Keep on Mining! - Worlds $6.99 1,899 80% 57k $398k (exactly $398,220) EagleEye Games
Galactic Mining Corp older $12.99 868 84% 26k $338k (exactly $338,260) Windybeard
Kardboard Kings: Card Shop Simulator older $19.99 325 73% 9.8k $195k (exactly $194,902) Henry's House, Oscar Brittain, Rob Gross
Tabletop Game Shop Simulator $12.99 480 84% 14k $187k (exactly $187,056) Ludogram, Knight Fever Games
Budgie's Bug Shop $5.99 1,016 96% 30k $183k (exactly $182,575) Moon Lagoon
Broken Reality 2000 $14.99 371 76% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Dynamic Media Triad

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.