Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Management game?

Management + Collectathon

Of 182 developers who shipped a Collectathon Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 230 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.5k, ×5.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $990. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 230 games are announced against 123 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 230 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 182
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.6k → $2.9k → $9.0k → $2.4k → $5.2k → $7.2k → $2.7k (still earning) → $3.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 182
Bottom 30% $987 (exactly $987)
Median $3.5k (exactly $3,507)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $28,369)
Top 5% $579k (exactly $578,757)
Developers, 2 yr 182
Released games 305
Announced 230
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 95% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Collectathon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Economy, Life Sim
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.49 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cute, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.49 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 99,776 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $990, median $3.5k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $570k.

3 in 10 developers made under $990. 6 in 10 of the 72 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 230 games are announced against 123 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  10. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  11. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced
  12. + IdlerFair669 devs · median $1.9k · 877 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TCG Card Shop Simulator $19.99 47,357 96% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,399,993) OPNeon Games
Cookie Clicker older $4.99 87,916 96% 2.6M $13M (exactly $13,161,025) Orteil, DashNet
Travellers Rest · EA older $17.99 16,538 87% 496k $8.9M (exactly $8,925,559) Isolated Games
Tiny Bookshop $19.99 6,967 96% 209k $4.2M (exactly $4,178,110) neoludic games
Cozy Grove older $14.99 7,512 89% 225k $3.4M (exactly $3,378,146) Spry Fox
Shelldiver $4.99 16,806 98% 504k $2.5M (exactly $2,515,858) Gagonfe
Star Birds · EA $19.99 2,990 92% 90k $1.8M (exactly $1,793,103) Toukana Interactive
Outpath older $14.99 2,898 92% 87k $1.3M (exactly $1,303,231) David Moralejo Sánchez
Teddy's Haven · EA $14.99 2,800 95% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,259,160) Teddy Bear Games LLC
Keep on Mining! $4.99 8,300 93% 249k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,510) EagleEye Games
Tiny Aquarium: Social Fishkeeping $7.49 3,386 95% 102k $761k (exactly $760,834) Lunheim Studios
Digseum $2.99 8,033 97% 241k $721k (exactly $720,560) Rat Monthly
Supercar Collection Simulator $12.99 1,528 85% 46k $595k (exactly $595,462) Kiki Games
Card Shop Simulator Multiplayer $11.99 1,609 82% 48k $579k (exactly $578,757) ShaneGame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.